Fixture360 logo Fixture360 logo
Sign in Register
🔢

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 17 October 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

92 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 17 October 2021. Sturm Graz vs Ried led the list at 76% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 22%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
D. Melipilla
1 : 1 FT
D. La Serena
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro
0 : 0 FT
Bahia
Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
2 : 1 FT
Gwangju FC
✓ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 1 FT
Utrecht
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
1 : 0 FT
Pogon Szczecin
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
3 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 2 FT
Göztepe
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Swansea
3 : 0 FT
Cardiff
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
1 : 0 FT
Nice
Win 14%
Draw 30%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Premier League · Russia
Ural
0 : 1 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 29%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 0 FT
Chonburi FC
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Police Tero
2 : 2 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Premier League · Ukraine
Minai
0 : 0 FT
Desna
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
3 : 0 FT
Werder Bremen
✓ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Dynamo Dresden
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hansa Rostock
1 : 1 FT
SV Sandhausen
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United
0 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
1 : 1 FT
Benevento
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 FT
Elche
✓ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
3 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
0 : 1 FT
Vitesse
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
0 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
2 : 2 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Everton
0 : 1 FT
West Ham
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Bordeaux
1 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 28%
Draw 36%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Metz
0 : 3 FT
Rennes
Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
5 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
✓ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow
2 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
✓ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
1 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
✓ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
4 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 32%
Draw 38%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Superettan · Sweden
Norrby IF
2 : 3 FT
IK brage
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
1 : 4 FT
Atalanta
Win 20%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Genoa
2 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 37%
Draw 22%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
1 : 1 FT
Bologna
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 2 FT
OFI
Win 25%
Draw 38%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
4 : 4 FT
Volos NFC
Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
1 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Altay
0 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 5 FT
Bayern München
Win 35%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Khimki
2 : 0 FT
Akhmat
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 22%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
3 : 0 FT
Royal Excel Mouscron
✓ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zlin
2 : 3 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
0 : 1 FT
Plzen
Win 28%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 0 FT
Karviná
✓ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Parma
0 : 0 FT
Monza
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
0 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 32%
Draw 38%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 68%
Model Score 0–0 · 20%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
0 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 30%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 37%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
2 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
1 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
3 : 0 FT
Al Taawon
✓ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
1 : 0 FT
Lens
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
✓ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
1 : 1 FT
Stabaek
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
7 : 0 FT
Mjondalen
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
0 : 0 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
0 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 FT
Ried
✓ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
0 : 0 FT
Al-Faisaly FC
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 33%
✓ Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
2 : 3 FT
Tottenham
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
0 : 1 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 36%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 39%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
2 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
1 : 0 FT
Torino
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
3 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
1 : 1 FT
FC UFA
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
1 : 2 FT
Osasuna
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
2 : 0 FT
Genk
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 2 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
2 : 2 FT
Valerenga
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
2 : 4 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 29%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Atromitos
✓ Win 50%
Draw 34%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAS Giannina
1 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 26%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
1 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 18%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
1 : 1 FT
FC Edmonton
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
0 : 0 FT
Spal
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
4 : 1 FT
Lorient
✓ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
1 : 0 FT
AS Roma
Win 32%
Draw 22%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
1 : 0 FT
Internacional
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
0 : 1 FT
Fluminense
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
3 : 1 FT
Valencia
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
2 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
Win 34%
Draw 21%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Cavalry FC
0 : 0 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
3 : 2 FT
Juventude
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Ceara
2 : 2 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 32%
✓ Draw 34%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
2 : 1 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 19%
Draw 36%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 20%

Showing 92 of 92 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 17 October 2021?

92 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sturm Graz vs Ried at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.