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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 8 November 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches clear our threshold today. The strongest reading belongs to Kalmar FF vs Sirius at 69% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 45%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
– : – 15:30
Sirius
Win 12%
Draw 19%
Win 69%
Over 2.5 56%
#2 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela
– : – 20:30
Benfica
Win 15%
Draw 18%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
– : – 13:00
Djurgardens IF
Win 12%
Draw 23%
Win 65%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 66% Djurgardens IF Clean Sheet 58%
#4 Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
– : – 15:30
BK Hacken
Win 18%
Draw 19%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
– : – 16:00
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
– : – 13:00
FC Lugano
Win 24%
Draw 21%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
– : – 13:30
Ajax
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 K League 1 · South-Korea
Bucheon FC 1995
– : – 07:30
Pohang Steelers
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
– : – 14:00
Liverpool
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Super League · Switzerland
FC Thun
– : – 15:30
FC Basel 1893
Win 27%
Draw 21%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 70%
#11 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Rasi Salai United
– : – 11:00
Bangkok United
Win 20%
Draw 30%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#12 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
– : – 19:00
NEC Nijmegen
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
– : – 20:30
SC Braga
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
– : – 15:45
PSV Eindhoven
Win 31%
Draw 20%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 78%
#15 Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
– : – 16:15
Lorient
Win 21%
Draw 31%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#16 Serie A · Italy
Napoli
– : – 11:30
Lazio
Win 29%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
– : – 11:15
Feyenoord
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
– : – 19:45
Juventus
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
#19 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
– : – 16:00
Molde
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Süper Lig · Turkey
Çorum FK
– : – 13:00
Fenerbahçe
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualify for Away Win today?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kalmar FF vs Sirius at 69% away win probability. The list is regenerated as the model reruns, so it can change during the day.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.