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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 19 October 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

33 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 19 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Sutton Utd vs Swindon Town at 57% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 19%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 FT
Corinthians
Win 28%
Draw 40%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 70%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 22%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
1 : 4 FT
Helsingborg
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
2 : 0 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Championship Β· England
Bristol City
1 : 2 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 15%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 18%
Championship Β· England
Derby
2 : 2 FT
Luton
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 14%
Championship Β· England
QPR
1 : 0 FT
Blackburn
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Stoke City
0 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
Win 33%
Draw 37%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 18%
League One Β· England
Cambridge United
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Charlton
2 : 3 FT
Accrington ST
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Cheltenham
3 : 1 FT
Morecambe
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Crewe
0 : 4 FT
Sunderland
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Lincoln
0 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Oxford United
2 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League One Β· England
Plymouth
3 : 0 FT
Bolton
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Portsmouth
0 : 4 FT
Ipswich
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Rotherham
0 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Wigan
1 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Barrow
1 : 1 FT
Scunthorpe
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Bradford
1 : 3 FT
Hartlepool
Win 59%
Draw 28%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 62% Bradford Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
League Two Β· England
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 26%
Draw 34%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
1 : 3 FT
Exeter City
Win 31%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
2 : 2 FT
Tranmere
Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67% Harrogate Town Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 24%
Draw 35%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
1 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Newport County
2 : 2 FT
Carlisle
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Northampton
3 : 0 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League Two Β· England
Oldham
1 : 3 FT
Walsall
Win 31%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Salford City
0 : 0 FT
Rochdale
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
1 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 30%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
0 : 3 FT
Nublense
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 33 of 33 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 19 October 2021?

33 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sutton Utd vs Swindon Town at 57% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.