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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 5 May 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

103 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 5 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Chelsea vs West Ham at 86% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 29%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eredivisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
2 : 0 FT
York United
✓ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
0 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola
1 : 2 FT
U. Catolica
Win 36%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
1 : 2 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 3 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 30%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2 : 2 FT
Incheon United
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 0 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
✓ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
1 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
4 : 2 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
0 : 5 FT
Waalwijk
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Warta Poznań
2 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
1 : 1 FT
Lecce
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
2 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
2 : 0 FT
Chonburi FC
✓ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
3 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
4 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Wehen
0 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 10%
Draw 17%
✓ Win 73%
Over 2.5 61%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 2 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
✓ Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Super League · China
Beijing Guoan
2 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
✓ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
3 : 1 FT
Malmo FF
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
0 : 2 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 24%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
0 : 2 FT
Real Betis
Win 33%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Sichuan Jiuniu
0 : 6 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 7%
Draw 13%
✓ Win 80%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
2 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Vitesse
✓ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
1 : 4 FT
Ajax
Win 25%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 1 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
0 : 2 FT
Lask Linz
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
5 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
✓ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Premier League · England
Brighton
1 : 0 FT
Aston Villa
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Chelsea
5 : 0 FT
West Ham
✓ Win 67%
Draw 16%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 78%
Model Score 3–1 · 7%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
0 : 0 FT
Frosinone
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
2 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
1 : 1 FT
Bari
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
2 : 2 FT
Spezia
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
0 : 0 FT
Como
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo
2 : 2 FT
Ascoli
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Parma
1 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa
2 : 2 FT
Sudtirol
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 0 FT
Reggiana
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Ternana
1 : 0 FT
Catanzaro
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Venezia
2 : 1 FT
Feralpisalo
✓ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
4 : 1 FT
Lecco
✓ Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
4 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Gnistan
0 : 3 FT
Haka
Win 30%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
2 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
3 : 1 FT
Sigma Olomouc
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
3 : 0 FT
Mlada Boleslav
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
3 : 4 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
3 : 2 FT
FC Sochi
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
3 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 1 FT
Deinze
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Hatta SC
0 : 0 FT
Ajman
Win 9%
Draw 16%
Win 76%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
3 : 2 FT
Villarreal
✓ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Farense
3 : 2 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
6 : 2 FT
IFK Norrkoping
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
1 : 2 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
0 : 2 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Super League · Switzerland
Yverdon Sport
3 : 1 FT
Lausanne
✓ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 FT
Twente
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
0 : 1 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 26%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 49%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 0 FT
Lillestrom
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
0 : 2 FT
Fredrikstad
Win 31%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 46%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
3 : 1 FT
Molde
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
2 : 0 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 0 FT
Chornomorets
✓ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
4 : 2 FT
Tottenham
✓ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 5 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 30%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
0 : 3 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
3 : 1 FT
Inter Turku
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
3 : 3 FT
Genoa
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
6 : 1 FT
Sivasspor
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 0 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
2 : 4 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 22%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
0 : 1 FT
Alaves
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 67% Valencia Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
0 : 0 FT
Anderlecht
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
2 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
1 : 0 FT
Baniyas SC
✓ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
0 : 0 FT
Estrela
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
4 : 3 FT
Casa Pia
✓ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
2 : 1 FT
Tromso
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
5 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
✓ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 3–0 · 9%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Atlético Ottawa
2 : 0 FT
Valour
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
1 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Vitoria
1 : 3 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 27%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 0 FT
Vasco DA Gama
✓ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 1 FT
Almeria
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
3 : 0 FT
Granada CF
✓ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
2 : 2 FT
Deportes Iquique
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 0 FT
Benfica
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
1 : 2 FT
Bahia
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
Cuiaba
0 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 26%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Primera División · Chile
Cobreloa
1 : 2 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 28%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Showing 103 of 103 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 5 May 2024?

103 fixtures met the criteria, led by Chelsea vs West Ham at 86% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.