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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 22 January 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

94 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 22 January 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Lazio vs Atalanta at 81% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 18%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Pattaya United
1 : 1 FT
Police Tero
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 3 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 17%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 55%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
2 : 0 FT
Al Taee
✓ Win 42%
Draw 38%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 74% ✓ Al-Fayha Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 0–0 · 23%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
1 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Everton
0 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
Win 37%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 37%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Bristol City
3 : 2 FT
Cardiff
✓ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Nottingham Forest
2 : 1 FT
Derby
✓ Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 4 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 25%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hansa Rostock
0 : 0 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Ingolstadt 04
0 : 2 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 19%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 54%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
1 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Alessandria
2 : 0 FT
Benevento
Win 19%
Draw 31%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Serie B · Italy
Como
1 : 1 FT
Crotone
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Spal
0 : 0 FT
Pisa
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Monza
1 : 0 FT
Reggina
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
1 : 1 FT
Ternana
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
1 : 3 FT
Ascoli
Win 24%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Levante
0 : 2 FT
Cadiz
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
5 : 0 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Genoa
0 : 0 FT
Udinese
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
2 : 0 FT
Al-Raed
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
5 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
Win 35%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 0 FT
VfB Stuttgart
✓ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
2 : 3 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Brentford
1 : 2 FT
Wolves
Win 28%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Premier League · England
Leeds
0 : 1 FT
Newcastle
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
1 : 0 FT
West Ham
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Bournemouth
0 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Birmingham
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Blackpool
1 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Coventry
1 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 34%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Reading
3 : 4 FT
Huddersfield
Win 22%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
2 : 0 FT
Luton
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Stoke City
2 : 3 FT
Fulham
Win 12%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Championship · England
Swansea
1 : 0 FT
Preston
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
West Brom
3 : 0 FT
Peterborough
✓ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ West Brom Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
League One · England
Burton Albion
1 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Cambridge United
1 : 0 FT
Crewe
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Charlton
2 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Ipswich
2 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
✓ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 1 FT
Doncaster
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Morecambe
3 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
League One · England
Oxford United
3 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
League One · England
Plymouth
1 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Rotherham
1 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
League One · England
Shrewsbury
0 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League One · England
Sunderland
1 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
✓ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Wigan
3 : 2 FT
Gillingham
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Barrow
1 : 3 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 34%
Draw 36%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Crawley Town
0 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 29%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Forest Green
3 : 0 FT
Carlisle
✓ Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
3 : 0 FT
Oldham
✓ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Hartlepool
1 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 50%
Draw 34%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
League Two · England
Leyton Orient
0 : 0 FT
Port Vale
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Rochdale
0 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Salford City
0 : 3 FT
Colchester
Win 54%
Draw 31%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League Two · England
Scunthorpe
0 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 28%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Sutton Utd
0 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Walsall
0 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Perugia
0 : 1 FT
Pordenone
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
3 : 0 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
2 : 4 FT
Panetolikos
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
0 : 2 FT
Santa Clara
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
1 : 2 FT
Göztepe
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
2 : 1 FT
Venezia
✓ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Premier League · England
Southampton
1 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
2 : 2 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
2 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
3 : 1 FT
Seraing United
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
3 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 12%
Draw 18%
Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Ionikos
0 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
1 : 3 FT
Groningen
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
3 : 0 FT
Guingamp
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 0 FT
Toulouse
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
1 : 0 FT
Quevilly
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
0 : 0 FT
Sochaux
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
0 : 0 FT
Rodez
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Tondela
2 : 3 FT
Vizela
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 0 FT
Cambuur
Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
0 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Erzgebirge AUE
0 : 5 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 20%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio
0 : 0 FT
Atalanta
Win 26%
Draw 19%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 77%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 0 FT
Gent
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
0 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
0 : 1 FT
Twente
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Valencia
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
1 : 2 FT
SC Braga
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 94 of 94 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 22 January 2022?

94 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lazio vs Atalanta at 81% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.