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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 23 January 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

57 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 23 January 2022. Empoli vs AS Roma led the list at 77% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 16%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
3 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
✓ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 0 FT
Rizespor
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
2 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2 : 2 FT
Chiangmai United
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 4 FT
Feyenoord
Win 21%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 53%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
1 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Metz
0 : 2 FT
Nice
Win 13%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 65%
Over 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
1 : 0 FT
Bangkok United
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
0 : 0 FT
Dynamo Dresden
Win 39%
Draw 36%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1 : 2 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
2 : 2 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Granada CF
0 : 2 FT
Osasuna
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
0 : 0 FT
Lamia
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
0 : 0 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Giresunspor
1 : 3 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 29%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Altay
0 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 17%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 60%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
1 : 1 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
1 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 22%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 20%
Draw 21%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Premier League · England
Arsenal
0 : 0 FT
Burnley
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
1 : 3 FT
Liverpool
Win 28%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Premier League · England
Leicester
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers
2 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
✓ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Bordeaux
4 : 3 FT
Strasbourg
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
2 : 1 FT
Rennes
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
4 : 2 FT
Lorient
✓ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
4 : 1 FT
Salernitana
✓ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Spezia
1 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Torino
1 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
✓ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
Genk
✓ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Excelsior Virton
0 : 4 FT
SK Beveren
Win 14%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Vicenza Virtus
3 : 3 FT
Cittadella
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 2 FT
Elche
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
0 : 2 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 51%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 4 FT
PAOK
Win 28%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Maritimo
1 : 1 FT
Belenenses
Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 65% Maritimo Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
3 : 1 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 3 FT
Utrecht
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
1 : 2 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 25%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
3 : 2 FT
Monaco
✓ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · England
Chelsea
2 : 0 FT
Tottenham
✓ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
1 : 4 FT
Bayern München
Win 15%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
2 : 4 FT
AS Roma
Win 25%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Serie B · Italy
Lecce
2 : 1 FT
Cremonese
✓ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 FT
Getafe
Win 35%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS No 74% ✓ Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 55%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 25%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 1 FT
Athletic Club
Win 41%
Draw 38%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 70% Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 0–0 · 21%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
0 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 25%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 55%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
✓ Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Royal Excel Mouscron
0 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
4 : 0 FT
Reims
✓ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
0 : 0 FT
Juventus
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves
0 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 26%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
3 : 1 FT
Zulte Waregem
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
3 : 1 FT
Famalicao
✓ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Showing 57 of 57 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 23 January 2022?

57 fixtures met the criteria, led by Empoli vs AS Roma at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.