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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 27 January 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

78 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 27 January 2024. Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach sits top on 84% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 26%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hansa Rostock
2 : 1 FT
SV Elversberg
✓ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Osnabrück
0 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Wehen
3 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Como
0 : 2 FT
Ascoli
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
3 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
0 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Serie B · Italy
Venezia
1 : 0 FT
Ternana
✓ Win 56%
Draw 19%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 79%
Model Score 2–1 · 7%
Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
1 : 0 FT
Brescia
✓ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Pendikspor
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
0 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
2 : 0 FT
Udinese
✓ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
3 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
✓ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
2 : 3 FT
Bayern München
Win 34%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 2 FT
RB Leipzig
✓ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Millwall
1 : 1 FT
Preston
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Sunderland
3 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Barnsley
1 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
League One · England
Blackpool
1 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
League One · England
Bristol Rovers
3 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Cambridge United
0 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Carlisle
1 : 4 FT
Bolton
Win 20%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 52%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
League One · England
Derby
2 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Peterborough
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Northampton
0 : 2 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League One · England
Port Vale
0 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 26%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 49%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Reading
1 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Wigan
2 : 3 FT
Stevenage
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Wycombe
2 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 26%
Draw 23%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Crewe
2 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Doncaster
1 : 5 FT
Stockport County
Win 24%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Forest Green
0 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 29%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Grimsby
1 : 2 FT
Tranmere
Win 33%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 1 FT
Gillingham
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Morecambe
0 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Notts County
1 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 8%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
2 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
0 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
3 : 0 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 20%
Draw 20%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
0 : 2 FT
Reggiana
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Feralpisalo
5 : 1 FT
Lecco
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa
2 : 3 FT
Spezia
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Las Palmas
1 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 27%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 2 FT
Lamia
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
1 : 0 FT
Metz
✓ Win 64%
Draw 26%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Nice Clean Sheet 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
0 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
1 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 63%
Draw 26%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 67% Juventus Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
1 : 0 FT
Yverdon Sport
✓ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1 : 3 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 32%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 30%
Draw 20%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
0 : 0 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 3–1 · 8%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
3 : 5 FT
Villarreal
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panserraikos
2 : 2 FT
Volos NFC
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
✓ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 65%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
1 : 0 FT
Concarneau
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
0 : 0 FT
PAU
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre
1 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen
0 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
3 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
1 : 2 FT
Dunkerque
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
1 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 2 FT
Laval
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Kifisia
0 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 21%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 58%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender
0 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 2 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 32%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 0 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
2 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
2 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
1 : 4 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 28%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
2 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
1 : 1 FT
Utrecht
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
2 : 4 FT
Ajax
Win 20%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
0 : 1 FT
Real Betis
Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%

Showing 78 of 78 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 27 January 2024?

78 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach at 84% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.