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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 5 December 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

91 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 5 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Molde vs Lillestrom at 78% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
2 : 0 FT
Jeju United FC
✓ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 : 0 FT
Daegu FC
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
2 : 0 FT
Suwon Bluewings
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
2 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Khimki
1 : 2 FT
Arsenal Tula
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
2 : 3 FT
Fiorentina
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
0 : 5 FT
Rennes
Win 24%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 0 FT
Inhulets
✓ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
3 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
✓ Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
1 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 19%
Draw 39%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Dynamo Dresden
3 : 1 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 37%
Draw 37%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 30%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Superettan · Sweden
Akropolis
0 : 0 FT
Skövde AIK
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
0 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Como
0 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 FT
Espanyol
✓ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Giresunspor
3 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 3 FT
Başakşehir
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
Lausanne
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
✓ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
1 : 0 FT
Ried
✓ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
2 : 0 FT
FC UFA
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
2 : 1 FT
Rubin
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Leeds
2 : 2 FT
Brentford
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
1 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Tottenham
3 : 0 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
0 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
4 : 0 FT
Metz
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
1 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Reims
1 : 2 FT
Angers
Win 28%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Spezia
2 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Venezia
3 : 4 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 3 FT
Pardubice
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
4 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
✓ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 2 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Championship · England
QPR
0 : 2 FT
Stoke City
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Gais
1 : 1 FT
Dalkurd FF
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
3 : 2 FT
Zulte Waregem
✓ Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
4 : 3 FT
Royal Excel Mouscron
✓ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
3 : 0 FT
Minai
✓ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
0 : 2 FT
Monza
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Elche
3 : 1 FT
Cadiz
✓ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Ionikos
3 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
2 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 23%
Draw 37%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 0 FT
FC Sion
✓ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
0 : 4 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
5 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
✓ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
0 : 3 FT
Strasbourg
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 2 FT
Brann
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stabaek
1 : 3 FT
Rosenborg
Win 31%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
2 : 0 FT
Mjondalen
✓ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
3 : 3 FT
Lillestrom
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
3 : 2 FT
Kristiansund BK
✓ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0 : 1 FT
Tromso
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
0 : 0 FT
Haugesund
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
3 : 1 FT
ODD Ballklubb
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
4 : 0 FT
Rizespor
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
1 : 1 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Wolfsberger AC
3 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
1 : 2 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa
2 : 1 FT
Leicester
✓ Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 : 6 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 3 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 29%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 3 FT
Lazio
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
1 : 2 FT
Plzen
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Levante
0 : 0 FT
Osasuna
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 3 FT
Charleroi
Win 31%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
1 : 0 FT
Panathinaikos
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Desna
3 : 3 FT
FC Mariupol
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
4 : 0 FT
Famalicao
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Gremio
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
4 : 3 FT
RB Bragantino
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
2 : 0 FT
Fluminense
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow
1 : 0 FT
Legia Warszawa
✓ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 2 FT
Lommel United
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Serie B · Italy
Alessandria
0 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Ligue 1 · France
Bordeaux
2 : 2 FT
Lyon
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
2 : 0 FT
Genoa
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 2 FT
Valencia
Win 36%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
1 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 49%
Draw 21%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
2 : 0 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola
0 : 1 FT
Cobresal
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
3 : 2 FT
Union La Calera
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
3 : 1 FT
D. Melipilla
✓ Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primera División · Chile
A. Italiano
1 : 1 FT
Curico Unido
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge
0 : 1 FT
Pacific FC
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Ceara
0 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Showing 91 of 91 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 5 December 2021?

91 fixtures met the criteria, led by Molde vs Lillestrom at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.