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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 3 December 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

33 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 3 December 2021. Zenit vs FC Rostov led the list at 79% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 19%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
6 : 1 FT
Lviv
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
2 : 2 FT
FC Rostov
Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 3–1 Β· 8%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 1 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
4 : 0 FT
Erzgebirge AUE
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
1 : 3 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 9%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
1 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 21%
Draw 19%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 5 FT
NAC Breda
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 5 FT
Roda
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 14%
Draw 18%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 1 FT
FC OSS
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 3 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
0 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 17%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
3 : 0 FT
Excelsior Virton
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
3 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Perugia
1 : 0 FT
Vicenza Virtus
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Fulham
1 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 13%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
0 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
Win 43%
Draw 36%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 74% ✓ Ajaccio Clean Sheet 57%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 22%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
3 : 0 FT
Dunkerque
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
1 : 2 FT
Le Havre
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Guingamp
3 : 2 FT
Dijon
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
1 : 0 FT
Bastia
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
2 : 1 FT
Nancy
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 0 FT
Nimes
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Sochaux
2 : 1 FT
PAU
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
La Liga Β· Spain
Granada CF
2 : 1 FT
Alaves
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
1 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Sport Recife
1 : 1 FT
Flamengo
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Goianiense
Win 32%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%

Showing 33 of 33 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 3 December 2021?

33 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs FC Rostov at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.