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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 24 September 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 45 fixtures on Friday 24 September 2021. Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Taawon sits top on 76% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 20%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
2 : 1 FT
Ratchaburi
✓ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
0 : 2 FT
Ajman
Win 26%
Draw 43%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 20%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
3 : 0 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 34%
Draw 39%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha
1 : 3 FT
Damac
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Górnik Łęczna
0 : 4 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 29%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
✓ Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
3 : 2 FT
Erzgebirge AUE
✓ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 1 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 30%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
2 : 2 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Altay
2 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
0 : 4 FT
Al Nasr
Win 38%
Draw 37%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
✓ Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 37%
Draw 21%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
✓ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 2 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 51%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 3 FT
FC Volendam
Win 37%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
✓ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
1 : 0 FT
Maritimo
✓ Win 44%
Draw 36%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 1 FT
SK Beveren
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 3 FT
Bayern München
Win 14%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 0 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Coventry
3 : 0 FT
Peterborough
✓ Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Barrow
2 : 1 FT
Newport County
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
3 : 0 FT
Longford Town
✓ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
4 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 2 FT
Finn Harps
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
West Brom
2 : 1 FT
QPR
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
0 : 1 FT
Valenciennes
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
1 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Nimes
0 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 29%
Draw 39%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
Niort
4 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 30%
Draw 40%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 19%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
1 : 2 FT
Dunkerque
Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
2 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 25%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 69%
Model Score 0–0 · 22%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
0 : 0 FT
Auxerre
Win 28%
✓ Draw 37%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 2 FT
FC Porto
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
1 : 1 FT
Palestino
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Showing 45 of 45 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 24 September 2021?

45 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Taawon at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.