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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Wednesday 22 September 2021

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 49 fixtures on Wednesday 22 September 2021. Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF sits top on 70% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 18%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 1 supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
0 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
3 : 1 FT
Seongnam FC
✓ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
0 : 0 FT
Incheon United
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 : 1 FT
Apollon Smirnis
✓ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
0 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 29%
Draw 36%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 71%
Model Score 0–0 · 21%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku
4 : 0 FT
AC Oulu
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Honka
0 : 1 FT
KuPS
Win 24%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 51%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki
0 : 2 FT
HIFK Helsinki
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
4 : 0 FT
SJK
Win 26%
Draw 37%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 74%
Model Score 0–0 · 23%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves
2 : 0 FT
Mariehamn
✓ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Kooteepee
1 : 2 FT
Lahti
Win 19%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 54%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Serie B · Italy
Ternana
3 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
1 : 6 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 29%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
2 : 2 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
Spezia
2 : 3 FT
Juventus
Win 31%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 43%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 25%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
0 : 3 FT
Utrecht
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
2 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 19%
Draw 34%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
3 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 27%
Draw 37%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
3 : 3 FT
Bordeaux
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
3 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 28%
Draw 38%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
6 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
3 : 2 FT
Degerfors IF
✓ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
0 : 1 FT
Malmo FF
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
2 : 4 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Orebro SK
2 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
✓ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
3 : 0 FT
Galatasaray
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
0 : 2 FT
Hatayspor
Win 33%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
1 : 0 FT
Alaves
Win 33%
Draw 39%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
3 : 1 FT
Valencia
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
1 : 0 FT
Lamia
✓ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 0 FT
Panathinaikos
✓ Win 36%
Draw 36%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 71%
Model Score 0–0 · 21%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
0 : 1 FT
Vitesse
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
0 : 3 FT
Perugia
Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
0 : 2 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 33%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 38%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
0 : 2 FT
Empoli
Win 28%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 49%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
2 : 0 FT
Venezia
✓ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
4 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers
0 : 0 FT
Marseille
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
0 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
1 : 0 FT
Nice
Win 20%
Draw 32%
Win 48%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
3 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Metz
1 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 18%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
3 : 1 FT
Heerenveen
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
6 : 1 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
4 : 1 FT
Elche
Win 25%
Draw 43%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 21%

Showing 49 of 49 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 22 September 2021?

49 fixtures met the criteria, led by Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF at 70% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.