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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Saturday 13 January 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

82 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 13 January 2024. PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior led the list at 77% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
1 : 1 FT
Pendikspor
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ankaragücü
3 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
1 : 0 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
Coventry
3 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
3 : 1 FT
Ternana
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
2 : 0 FT
Palermo
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie B Β· Italy
Como
4 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 0 FT
Feralpisalo
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
1 : 2 FT
Brescia
Win 31%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Las Palmas
3 : 0 FT
Villarreal
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
3 : 2 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
0 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
0 : 0 FT
Torino
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
2 : 1 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
0 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
0 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
0 : 1 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 23%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
Birmingham
2 : 2 FT
Swansea
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Cardiff
0 : 3 FT
Leeds
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Huddersfield
1 : 1 FT
Plymouth
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Millwall
1 : 3 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Preston
2 : 0 FT
Bristol City
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Rotherham
0 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 35%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Southampton
4 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Southampton Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 14%
Championship Β· England
West Brom
4 : 1 FT
Blackburn
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Barnsley
2 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Blackpool
2 : 0 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 2–0 Β· 9%
League One Β· England
Cambridge United
2 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Carlisle
1 : 3 FT
Oxford United
Win 28%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Charlton
1 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 31%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Northampton
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Portsmouth
0 : 3 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
0 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 35%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Wycombe
1 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Accrington ST
1 : 2 FT
Gillingham
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
0 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Crewe
2 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
League Two Β· England
Doncaster
0 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Forest Green
0 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 51%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Grimsby
5 : 5 FT
Notts County
Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 8%
League Two Β· England
Morecambe
1 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 18%
Draw 22%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Stockport County
3 : 1 FT
Walsall
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
2 : 2 FT
Barrow
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Tranmere
1 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Wrexham
2 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
1 : 4 FT
SK Beveren
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
2 : 2 FT
Reggiana
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
1 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
0 : 2 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 3 FT
NAC Breda
Win 25%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
0 : 2 FT
Famalicao
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
1 : 3 FT
Reims
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Rizespor
1 : 0 FT
Adana Demirspor
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
3 : 0 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
2 : 1 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
1 : 1 FT
OFI
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
2 : 3 FT
Manchester City
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Ipswich
2 : 1 FT
Sunderland
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
0 : 3 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 16%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 10%
La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
2 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
2 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
1 : 0 FT
Concarneau
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Valenciennes
0 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 33%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
2 : 1 FT
Annecy
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
3 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
2 : 2 FT
Dunkerque
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
0 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 30%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
2 : 1 FT
PAU
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Chaves
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 30%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
0 : 2 FT
Panserraikos
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
2 : 2 FT
Heerenveen
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
0 : 2 FT
Lommel United
Win 36%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 4 FT
Dender
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
1 : 5 FT
Inter
Win 18%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
2 : 0 FT
Nice
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 1 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
1 : 0 FT
Granada CF
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Real Betis Clean Sheet 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
1 : 3 FT
Moreirense
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%

Showing 82 of 82 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 13 January 2024?

82 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.