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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 14 January 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

40 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 14 January 2024. GO Ahead Eagles vs Ajax led the list at 76% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig Β· Turkey
İstanbulspor
0 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
0 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
1 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Championship Β· England
QPR
1 : 2 FT
Watford
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 49%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
3 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Oostende
3 : 2 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 13%
Draw 22%
Win 65%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 62% Zulte Waregem Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
La Liga Β· Spain
Almeria
0 : 0 FT
Girona
Win 19%
Draw 23%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
0 : 4 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Samsunspor
2 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 3 FT
Ajax
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
0 : 0 FT
Utrecht
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Everton
0 : 0 FT
Aston Villa
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
1 : 2 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Metz
0 : 1 FT
Toulouse
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
2 : 1 FT
Bologna
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Bochum
1 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 5 FT
Francs Borains
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kifisia
2 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
1 : 0 FT
Cosenza
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ Cremonese Clean Sheet 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 20%
Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
1 : 1 FT
Ascoli
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia
5 : 3 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
1 : 4 FT
Valencia
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 1 FT
Estrela
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
2 : 2 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
0 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 12%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 68%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Le Havre
3 : 1 FT
Lyon
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
2 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 32%
Draw 22%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
2 : 2 FT
Udinese
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vizela
1 : 4 FT
Boavista
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
4 : 1 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KRC Genk II
3 : 2 FT
Deinze
Win 22%
Draw 23%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
2 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
4 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
0 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
3 : 1 FT
AS Roma
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 0 FT
SC Braga
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 40 of 40 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 14 January 2024?

40 fixtures met the criteria, led by GO Ahead Eagles vs Ajax at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.