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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 3 December 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

90 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 3 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax at 81% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 24%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 69% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 20%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 14%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 0 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
2 : 1 FT
Incheon United
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
4 : 2 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Khon Kaen United
2 : 2 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Russia
CSKA Moscow
2 : 0 FT
FC Rostov
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
2 : 2 FT
Buriram United
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
1 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
4 : 4 FT
Ruch Chorzów
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
1 : 1 FT
Bologna
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Le Havre
0 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 18%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Prachuap
0 : 1 FT
Bangkok United
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 54%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
5 : 1 FT
SV Elversberg
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 0 FT
Hannover 96
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
2 : 2 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
2 : 2 FT
Gent
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Oostende
0 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 25%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
0 : 0 FT
Alaves
Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
0 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
1 : 3 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Championship Β· England
Bristol City
1 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 46%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 79%
Model Score 2–2 Β· 7%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 3 FT
Twente
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
1 : 0 FT
Wolfsberger AC
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
FC BW Linz
1 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar
2 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
3 : 1 FT
Zenit
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
2 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
3 : 2 FT
Brighton
Win 36%
Draw 21%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
4 : 3 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
1 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
2 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
3 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 3 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
3 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
3 : 3 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
1 : 2 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
0 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
2 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 15%
Draw 28%
Win 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
0 : 2 FT
St. Truiden
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Liège
2 : 1 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Lecco
1 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol
0 : 1 FT
Como
Win 31%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
3 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
La Liga Β· Spain
Almeria
0 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
3 : 1 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
1 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
1 : 0 FT
FC Luzern
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
1 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 0 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
3 : 0 FT
Stabaek
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
1 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
4 : 1 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 0 FT
Lillestrom
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
3 : 0 FT
Brann
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
1 : 5 FT
Rosenborg
Win 62%
Draw 17%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
1 : 1 FT
Tromso
Win 19%
Draw 20%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ankaragücü
1 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Vienna
0 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Premier League Β· Russia
Akhmat
2 : 1 FT
Spartak Moscow
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
2 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
3 : 3 FT
Tottenham
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
1 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
4 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
0 : 0 FT
Benfica
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
2 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
2 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
Win 28%
Draw 34%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 19%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
1 : 0 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
2 : 0 FT
Rennes
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
0 : 3 FT
Inter
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%
La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Madrid
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
0 : 4 FT
Arouca
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
0 : 2 FT
Union Espanola
Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 63%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
4 : 3 FT
Universidad de Chile
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
0 : 1 FT
Huachipato
Win 31%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
0 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 0 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
1 : 0 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
3 : 0 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
1 : 0 FT
Goias
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Brazil
America Mineiro
3 : 2 FT
Bahia
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%

Showing 90 of 90 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 3 December 2023?

90 fixtures met the criteria, led by NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax at 81% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.