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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 1 December 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

35 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 1 December 2023. Emirates Club vs Al-Ittihad Kalba led the list at 82% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
0 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
3 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
✓ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
1 : 1 FT
Hatta SC
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
2 : 4 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 20%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
2 : 4 FT
Damac
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–0 · 14%
Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
1 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
1 : 1 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 2 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 28%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
3 : 3 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
3 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
✓ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
4 : 0 FT
VfL Osnabrück
✓ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
2 : 2 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 0 FT
Al-Nassr
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
3 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 0 FT
Roda
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Groningen
2 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
2 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
3 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 28%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 48%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
3 : 0 FT
Emmen
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
3 : 3 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
4 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
0 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden
0 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 17%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 61%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 0 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 23%
Draw 36%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo
1 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
1 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 34%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
1 : 3 FT
Anderlecht
Win 22%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Championship · England
Preston
0 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Reims
2 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
✓ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Las Palmas
2 : 0 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Chaves
2 : 1 FT
Vizela
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Coquimbo Unido
1 : 2 FT
Union La Calera
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 35 of 35 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 1 December 2023?

35 fixtures met the criteria, led by Emirates Club vs Al-Ittihad Kalba at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.