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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 22 October 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 90 fixtures on Sunday 22 October 2023. BK Hacken vs IFK Norrkoping sits top on 78% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
1 : 1 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
2 : 1 FT
Gangwon FC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
2 : 0 FT
Suwon Bluewings
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 4 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 35%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
1 : 1 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Ural
1 : 4 FT
FC Sochi
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
2 : 5 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 31%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
4 : 3 FT
Ajax
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
1 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Monza
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
0 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 29%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 2 FT
Uthai Thani
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
2 : 1 FT
Rennes
✓ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
0 : 1 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 34%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 40%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
2 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
✓ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Police Tero
2 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
3 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hansa Rostock
1 : 3 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 33%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
3 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
✓ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
4 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
✓ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender
1 : 1 FT
Oostende
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Las Palmas
0 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 32%
Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
3 : 2 FT
Lamphun Warrior
✓ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 3 FT
Polessya
Win 33%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
2 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
✓ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
2 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
2 : 4 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
2 : 0 FT
Valerenga
✓ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 0 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
0 : 2 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
1 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
1 : 0 FT
Stade Brestois 29
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
2 : 0 FT
Montpellier
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
0 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
1 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
0 : 2 FT
Trelleborg
Win 27%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 50%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
4 : 0 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
2 : 1 FT
Frosinone
✓ Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 67% Bologna Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 20%
Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
2 : 2 FT
Cagliari
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 3 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Kifisia
0 : 0 FT
OFI
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
İstanbulspor
2 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
4 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
✓ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 3–0 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
0 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 32%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
3 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 30%
Draw 21%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit
3 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
✓ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
2 : 0 FT
Gent
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge II
0 : 3 FT
SK Beveren
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
0 : 1 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
UCD
0 : 2 FT
Cork City
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
2 : 0 FT
Cosenza
Win 16%
Draw 32%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Girona
5 : 2 FT
Almeria
✓ Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
2 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 1 FT
Yverdon Sport
✓ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
0 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Aalesund
3 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
0 : 3 FT
Haugesund
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
1 : 1 FT
Stabaek
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
3 : 1 FT
ODD Ballklubb
✓ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
2 : 3 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 29%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
2 : 1 FT
Metz
✓ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa
4 : 1 FT
West Ham
✓ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 5 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
5 : 0 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
✓ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
BK Hacken
4 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
✓ Win 64%
Draw 17%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
2 : 0 FT
Atromitos
✓ Win 70%
Draw 23%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
2 : 0 FT
Genoa
✓ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor
0 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
4 : 2 FT
Hatayspor
✓ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
3 : 0 FT
Akhmat
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
0 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
1 : 0 FT
Venezia
Win 20%
Draw 34%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
1 : 1 FT
Alaves
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
3 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
3 : 4 FT
Tromso
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
4 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
0 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 2 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 37%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
0 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 0 FT
Vasco DA Gama
✓ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
0 : 1 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
7 : 1 FT
Santos
✓ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
✓ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
5 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
America Mineiro
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 0 FT
Fluminense
✓ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Coritiba
0 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 23%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%

Showing 90 of 90 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 22 October 2023?

90 fixtures met the criteria, led by BK Hacken vs IFK Norrkoping at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.