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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Tuesday 24 October 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

35 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 24 October 2023. Wrexham vs Sutton Utd led the list at 91% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 27%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
3 : 3 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa
1 : 2 FT
Lecco
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
0 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 29%
Draw 39%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Superettan · Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten
2 : 1 FT
Osters IF
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Huddersfield
0 : 4 FT
Cardiff
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Millwall
1 : 2 FT
Blackburn
Win 29%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Norwich
1 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Swansea
0 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Barnsley
3 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League One · England
Blackpool
3 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League One · England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Carlisle
2 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
League One · England
Derby
2 : 0 FT
Exeter City
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League One · England
Lincoln
3 : 1 FT
Charlton
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League One · England
Northampton
2 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League One · England
Port Vale
0 : 1 FT
Peterborough
Win 32%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Wigan
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Wycombe
2 : 4 FT
Bolton
Win 36%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Cambridge United
0 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 4 FT
Accrington ST
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Crewe
0 : 2 FT
Stockport County
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Doncaster
0 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Forest Green
0 : 2 FT
Barrow
Win 31%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Grimsby
2 : 3 FT
Colchester
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 4 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 23%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Morecambe
1 : 0 FT
Tranmere
✓ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Notts County
3 : 0 FT
Newport County
✓ Win 55%
Draw 19%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
League Two · England
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Wrexham
2 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
✓ Win 74%
Draw 13%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 91% ✓ BTTS Yes 80%
Model Score 3–1 · 6%
Championship · England
Leicester
1 : 0 FT
Sunderland
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
West Brom
2 : 0 FT
QPR
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Reading
1 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Showing 35 of 35 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 24 October 2023?

35 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wrexham vs Sutton Utd at 91% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.