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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 28 August 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 103 fixtures on Sunday 28 August 2022. Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Ruby FC sits top on 88% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 17%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Ceara
0 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
1 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Russia
Ural
0 : 4 FT
Zenit
Win 23%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
0 : 0 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Seongnam FC
2 : 1 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
0 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 31%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
4 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 2 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
3 : 1 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Utsikten
1 : 2 FT
Orebro SK
Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
2 : 1 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Holstein Kiel
1 : 0 FT
SV Sandhausen
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4 : 4 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
1 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 34%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
4 : 2 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 0 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
5 : 1 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 9%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 88% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 3–1 Β· 7%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
5 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangrai United
2 : 0 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 3 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
1 : 6 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 28%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
1 : 0 FT
Twente
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
0 : 1 FT
West Ham
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· England
Wolves
1 : 1 FT
Newcastle
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
2 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
0 : 3 FT
Marseille
Win 33%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 7 FT
Montpellier
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
3 : 1 FT
Angers
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 4 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 14%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 2 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
2 : 0 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
1 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Norrby IF
2 : 1 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Skövde AIK
1 : 1 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 0 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
0 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
2 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
0 : 3 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
1 : 0 FT
Sigma Olomouc
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovácko
1 : 2 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
1 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 5 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 18%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Zurich
2 : 4 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 30%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Russia
Torpedo Moskva
1 : 4 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 17%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
0 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 26%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 3 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
1 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
3 : 3 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
1 : 1 FT
HIFK Helsinki
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims
1 : 1 FT
Lyon
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
0 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 31%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 44%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
3 : 4 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 28%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
1 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
0 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 21%
Draw 38%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 73% ✓ Mjallby AIF Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 23%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
0 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 10%
La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 0 FT
Villarreal
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
1 : 0 FT
SJK
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
1 : 1 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
1 : 0 FT
Haugesund
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
1 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 64% Lillestrom Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
4 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
1 : 2 FT
Valerenga
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
3 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kayserispor
3 : 0 FT
Giresunspor
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 23%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
4 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primera División Β· Chile
Antofagasta
1 : 0 FT
Nublense
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Rostov
0 : 0 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
0 : 6 FT
SC Braga
Win 27%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zbrojovka Brno
0 : 4 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
4 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
4 : 3 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
2 : 3 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
0 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 1 FT
Monaco
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
0 : 0 FT
Napoli
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
1 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Benevento
2 : 1 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
1 : 1 FT
Venezia
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Parma
1 : 0 FT
Cosenza
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Perugia
1 : 3 FT
Bari
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
0 : 1 FT
Genoa
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Reggina
4 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
2 : 1 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
0 : 0 FT
Galatasaray
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Brazil
America Mineiro
1 : 1 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
0 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
0 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
Win 61%
Draw 18%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
2 : 0 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Valour
1 : 0 FT
Pacific FC
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
3 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 18%
La Liga Β· Spain
Espanyol
1 : 3 FT
Real Madrid
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
0 : 1 FT
Flamengo
Win 26%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
0 : 0 FT
Santos
Win 36%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS No 74%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 24%
Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
2 : 1 FT
Colo Colo
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
FC Edmonton
3 : 2 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 103 of 103 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 28 August 2022?

103 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Ruby FC at 88% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.