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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 30 August 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 30 fixtures on Tuesday 30 August 2022. Saint Etienne vs Bastia sits top on 64% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 19%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Czech Liga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
4 : 0 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zlin
2 : 1 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 2 FT
České Budějovice
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
0 : 0 FT
AC Milan
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 19%
Draw 23%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· England
Fulham
2 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
1 : 1 FT
Brentford
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· England
Southampton
2 : 1 FT
Chelsea
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Birmingham
1 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Burnley
2 : 0 FT
Millwall
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Cardiff
1 : 2 FT
Luton
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Championship Β· England
QPR
3 : 1 FT
Hull City
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Wigan
1 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
4 : 0 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
5 : 0 FT
Bastia
Win 13%
Draw 18%
Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 10%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
1 : 3 FT
Le Havre
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 4 FT
Metz
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
3 : 2 FT
Nimes
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
1 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Niort
0 : 1 FT
Valenciennes
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Dijon
0 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Guingamp
1 : 2 FT
Sochaux
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Bordeaux
4 : 0 FT
Quevilly
Win 28%
Draw 38%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 72%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 22%
Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
3 : 1 FT
Cremonese
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
3 : 0 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Premier League Β· England
Leeds
1 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Watford
2 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
3 : 2 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%

Showing 30 of 30 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 30 August 2022?

30 fixtures met the criteria, led by Saint Etienne vs Bastia at 64% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.