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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 29 October 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

103 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 29 October 2023. Aston Villa vs Luton led the list at 81% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
1 : 0 FT
Bahia
✓ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro
3 : 4 FT
Gremio
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge
2 : 1 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 0 FT
Fluminense
✓ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
2 : 2 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 : 0 FT
Daegu FC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
✓ Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
6 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
✓ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
1 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Henan Jianye
1 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Super League · China
Beijing Guoan
2 : 3 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 1 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
0 : 4 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
2 : 2 FT
Dalian Aerbin
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
3 : 4 FT
FC Seoul
Win 28%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Trat FC
1 : 0 FT
Prachuap
✓ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
0 : 0 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 0 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Premier League · Ukraine
Minai
0 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
2 : 1 FT
Feyenoord
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
2 : 1 FT
Groningen
✓ Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 3 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
4 : 3 FT
Frosinone
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 30%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
2 : 1 FT
Gais
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Skövde AIK
2 : 0 FT
Utsikten
✓ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 0 FT
IK brage
✓ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
3 : 1 FT
Ratchaburi
✓ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
0 : 2 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 2 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Wehen
1 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 1 FT
Antwerp
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 33%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
West Ham
0 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 0 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
2 : 1 FT
Osasuna
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
0 : 0 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
3 : 0 FT
Gnistan
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
2 : 2 FT
FC Kharkiv
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
3 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
✓ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
3 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
5 : 2 FT
Ajax
✓ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
0 : 1 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Lustenau
0 : 4 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 9%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
2 : 1 FT
Ural
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa
3 : 1 FT
Luton
✓ Win 84%
Draw 10%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 3–0 · 9%
Premier League · England
Brighton
1 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
3 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
2 : 0 FT
Monaco
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Metz
0 : 0 FT
Le Havre
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
3 : 0 FT
Toulouse
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
1 : 3 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
0 : 1 FT
Malmo FF
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
1 : 3 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 1 FT
BK Hacken
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
1 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 65% Monza Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
0 : 1 FT
Karviná
Win 83%
Draw 10%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 3–0 · 9%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 : 3 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
1 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 18%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liège II
2 : 1 FT
Deinze
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
2 : 1 FT
Ternana
✓ Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo
1 : 2 FT
Lecco
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Venezia
2 : 1 FT
Pisa
✓ Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
1 : 2 FT
Bari
Win 26%
Draw 38%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
0 : 3 FT
Manchester City
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
3 : 4 FT
Farense
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1 FT
Lamia
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
1 : 1 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
4 : 2 FT
FC Luzern
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
2 : 0 FT
Ham-Kam
✓ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 1 FT
Brann
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 : 2 FT
Stabaek
Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 0 FT
Viking
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Pendikspor
0 : 5 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 12%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
✓ Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Ankaragücü
2 : 0 FT
Samsunspor
✓ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
3 : 3 FT
Lask Linz
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
1 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
✓ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
1 : 1 FT
Halmstad
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
1 : 0 FT
FC Krasnodar
✓ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
1 : 0 FT
AS Roma
✓ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
0 : 2 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 2 FT
Valencia
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
3 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
✓ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
5 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
✓ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela
1 : 0 FT
Famalicao
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
1 : 3 FT
Rosenborg
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
0 : 3 FT
Genk
Win 23%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
0 : 2 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
✓ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Goias
1 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
2 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Alaves
✓ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
0 : 2 FT
FC Porto
Win 29%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 45%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Santos
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
3 : 4 FT
Coritiba
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
0 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Showing 103 of 103 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 29 October 2023?

103 fixtures met the criteria, led by Aston Villa vs Luton at 81% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.