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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 31 October 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Tuesday 31 October 2023. Bahia vs Fluminense sits top on 51% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies four of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One Β· England
Derby
4 : 0 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League One Β· England
Lincoln
0 : 2 FT
Oxford United
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Wigan
2 : 3 FT
Charlton
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Wycombe
0 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Barrow
1 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
1 : 0 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%

Showing 6 of 6 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 31 October 2023?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Bahia vs Fluminense at 51% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.