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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 27 October 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

41 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 27 October 2023. Roda vs Jong Ajax led the list at 83% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 29%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
2 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Police Tero
1 : 3 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
1 : 1 FT
Ajman
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Hatta SC
0 : 5 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 13%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
2 : 1 FT
Port FC
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
1 : 2 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 25%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
3 : 2 FT
Al Riyadh
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3 : 3 FT
Al Nasr
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Korona Kielce
5 : 3 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· Russia
Rubin
1 : 0 FT
Baltika
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4 : 0 FT
VfL Osnabrück
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 : 4 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
1 : 2 FT
Kayserispor
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
3 : 1 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
1 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
5 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 35%
Draw 22%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 3–1 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
3 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 1 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Oostende
0 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Bochum
2 : 2 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
ŁKS Łódź
0 : 5 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 30%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
1 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 24%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
1 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 1 FT
RWDM
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Cork City
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 0 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
3 : 2 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 59% Shelbourne Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
1 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 21%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
1 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
0 : 1 FT
Moreirense
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
1 : 2 FT
Internacional
Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%

Showing 41 of 41 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 27 October 2023?

41 fixtures met the criteria, led by Roda vs Jong Ajax at 83% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.