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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 22 March 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

89 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 22 March 2026. Buriram United vs Muangthong United led the list at 79% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 23%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
0 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
5 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 34%
Draw 37%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
0 : 0 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Anyang
0 : 1 FT
Incheon United
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
0 : 0 FT
Bucheon FC 1995
Win 31%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
0 : 2 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United
1 : 2 FT
Port FC
Win 29%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 2 FT
Heerenveen
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 24%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
3 : 0 FT
Arka Gdynia
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Como
5 : 0 FT
Pisa
✓ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
2 : 2 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
0 : 0 FT
Bangkok United
Win 34%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
1 : 2 FT
Sunderland
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
✓ Win 85%
Draw 11%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 3–0 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
2 : 3 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 5 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Preußen Münster
1 : 3 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 30%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
✓ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 67%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
0 : 2 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
1 : 3 FT
Zenit
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
1 : 1 FT
Ajax
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
2 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
✓ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
0 : 2 FT
Valerenga
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
0 : 1 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 31%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
0 : 0 FT
Rubin
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
0 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 35%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
4 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
✓ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 28%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
Model Score 0–0 · 19%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
0 : 3 FT
Carrarese
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 3 FT
Frosinone
Win 27%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Empoli
4 : 2 FT
Pescara
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa
2 : 0 FT
West Ham
✓ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Tottenham
0 : 3 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
✓ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
3 : 4 FT
Alaves
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
1 : 2 FT
Rio Ave
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
4 : 0 FT
Lausanne
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
1 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
3 : 0 FT
AZ Alkmaar
✓ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Telstar
3 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
0 : 5 FT
Willem II
Win 36%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
1 : 2 FT
Tromso
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Fredrikstad
3 : 1 FT
KFUM Oslo
✓ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
0 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
4 : 2 FT
Lask Linz
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
5 : 1 FT
Akron
✓ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
Karpaty
4 : 0 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
1 : 2 FT
Lille
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris FC
3 : 2 FT
Le Havre
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
0 : 0 FT
Metz
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
2 : 1 FT
Avellino
✓ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 2 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
0 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Lecce
✓ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 21%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Kifisia
✓ Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
1 : 0 FT
Atromitos
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
0 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
0 : 2 FT
OFI
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
2 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
0 : 0 FT
Larisa
Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 20%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 1 FT
Real Betis
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
2 : 3 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Dender
1 : 3 FT
Gent
Win 30%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
1 : 0 FT
Charleroi
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 0 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
5 : 5 FT
Genk
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 0 FT
Antwerp
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
4 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
✓ Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Alverca
1 : 4 FT
Sporting CP
Win 15%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 63%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
2 : 5 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 34%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Virtus Entella
3 : 0 FT
Reggiana
✓ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
2 : 0 FT
Coritiba
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro
0 : 0 FT
Santos
Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie A · Brazil
Remo
4 : 1 FT
Bahia
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 1 FT
Gremio
✓ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
1 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
2 : 3 FT
Strasbourg
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 2 FT
FC Porto
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
2 : 0 FT
Chapecoense-sc
✓ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie A · Brazil
Vitoria
1 : 0 FT
Mirassol
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Flamengo
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 89 of 89 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 22 March 2026?

89 fixtures met the criteria, led by Buriram United vs Muangthong United at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.