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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 24 September 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 100 fixtures on Sunday 24 September 2023. Arsenal vs Tottenham led the list at 80% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 28%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
Everton de Vina
1 : 2 FT
Huachipato
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge
3 : 1 FT
Pacific FC
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
✓ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
2 : 3 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 28%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 1 FT
Incheon United
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daegu FC
0 : 0 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 0 FT
Vitesse
✓ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 22%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Stoke City
1 : 3 FT
Hull City
Win 34%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Metz
0 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten
2 : 3 FT
Trelleborg
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
3 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
1 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
2 : 3 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3 : 1 FT
Hansa Rostock
✓ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
3 : 3 FT
St. Truiden
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
3 : 0 FT
Francs Borains
✓ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
3 : 1 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 5 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 17%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
4 : 3 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
4 : 3 FT
Prachuap
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
0 : 1 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
Yverdon Sport
3 : 2 FT
FC Basel 1893
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
0 : 0 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
2 : 1 FT
Austria Vienna
✓ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Arsenal
2 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 46%
Draw 20%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 78%
Model Score 2–1 · 7%
Premier League · England
Brighton
3 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
✓ Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · England
Chelsea
0 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
3 : 1 FT
West Ham
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
2 : 1 FT
Toulouse
✓ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
2 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Ruch Chorzów
3 : 5 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 32%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
2 : 0 FT
Cagliari
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
0 : 2 FT
Fiorentina
Win 31%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
1 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
6 : 2 FT
Pardubice
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
0 : 2 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 24%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 52%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
1 : 0 FT
Hatta SC
✓ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
✓ Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit
1 : 2 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Sunderland
0 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
0 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
1 : 2 FT
Liège
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 : 0 FT
Kifisia
✓ Win 83%
Draw 14%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 57% ✓ Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
2 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
✓ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Ankaragücü
1 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 24%
Draw 36%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
0 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
2 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
0 : 3 FT
Como
Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie B · Italy
Parma
1 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 31%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Chaves
2 : 2 FT
Estrela
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
3 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 0 FT
Servette FC
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
4 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
✓ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
2 : 3 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 28%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 0 FT
Twente
Win 16%
Draw 24%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
0 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 17%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 53%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 2 FT
Valerenga
✓ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
1 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
3 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
✓ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 1 FT
Haugesund
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 1 FT
Molde
Win 29%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
4 : 3 FT
Sandefjord
✓ Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
1 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
0 : 0 FT
Rennes
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Sheffield Utd
0 : 8 FT
Newcastle
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 1 FT
Gornik Zabrze
✓ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
1 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 : 1 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 24%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 52%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
0 : 0 FT
Napoli
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
3 : 3 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
2 : 0 FT
Ural
✓ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
3 : 2 FT
Baniyas SC
✓ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
1 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 65% Real Betis Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
La Liga · Spain
Las Palmas
1 : 0 FT
Granada CF
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
1 : 1 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Portimonense
1 : 3 FT
Benfica
Win 21%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
1 : 2 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
2 : 1 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
0 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 26%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
2 : 1 FT
Tromso
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
2 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
1 : 3 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 34%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAS Giannina
1 : 3 FT
PAOK
Win 44%
Draw 36%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primera División · Chile
Deportes Copiapo
3 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Atlético Ottawa
0 : 1 FT
Valour
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
4 : 0 FT
Marseille
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Torino
1 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
4 : 1 FT
Boavista
✓ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica
1 : 0 FT
Magallanes
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 100 of 100 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 24 September 2023?

100 fixtures met the criteria, led by Arsenal vs Tottenham at 80% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.