Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 22 September 2023

Tue 19 Wed 20 Thu 21 Fri 22 Sat 23 Sun 24 Mon 25

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

45 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 22 September 2023. The strongest reading belongs to VfB Stuttgart vs SV Darmstadt 98 at 79% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Super League · China

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Super League · China

Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Thai League 1 · Thailand

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Premier League · Ukraine

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

✓ Model Score 0–1 · 13%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Premier League · Ukraine

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%

Model Score 2–1 · 8%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Serie A · Italy

✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Superettan · Sweden

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Superettan · Sweden

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Süper Lig · Turkey

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 2–0 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Model Score 1–1 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–0 · 11%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Model Score 3–0 · 10%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie B · Italy

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Serie A · Italy

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Premier Division · Ireland

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Championship · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Ligue 1 · France

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

La Liga · Spain

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 45 of 45 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 22 September 2023?

45 fixtures met the criteria, led by VfB Stuttgart vs SV Darmstadt 98 at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.