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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Wednesday 27 September 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

34 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 27 September 2023. Inter vs Sassuolo sits top on 76% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
0 : 4 FT
Feyenoord
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 1 FT
OFI
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Kifisia
1 : 1 FT
Lamia
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki
3 : 0 FT
Honka
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves
2 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
1 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 23%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
1 : 0 FT
Salernitana
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
✓ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 9%
Superettan · Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 2 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
Skövde AIK
4 : 2 FT
Landskrona BoIS
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK
2 : 0 FT
IK brage
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 2 FT
Getafe
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
1 : 2 FT
Girona
Win 35%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
✓ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Real Madrid Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
4 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
✓ Win 71%
Draw 23%
Win 6%
BTTS No 58% Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 15%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
3 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
✓ Win 54%
Draw 32%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
1 : 0 FT
Vitesse
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 4 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro
1 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Como
1 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
✓ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Parma
2 : 1 FT
Bari
Win 34%
Draw 41%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 19%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 1 FT
Lausanne
✓ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
2 : 2 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
2 : 1 FT
BSC Young Boys
✓ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
1 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 3–0 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio
2 : 0 FT
Torino
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
4 : 1 FT
Udinese
✓ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
0 : 0 FT
Gent
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
0 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
0 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 FT
Coritiba
✓ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Showing 34 of 34 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 27 September 2023?

34 fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Sassuolo at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.