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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 28 September 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 92 fixtures on Sunday 28 September 2025. York United vs Valour sits top on 83% in the Canadian Premier League. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 28%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 FT
Mirassol
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
3 : 4 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Anyang
0 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
✓ Win 45%
Draw 21%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
0 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
3 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
1 : 1 FT
Oddevold
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
0 : 1 FT
Bangkok United
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
0 : 0 FT
Pardubice
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
3 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
0 : 3 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 28%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Preußen Münster
3 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
✓ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
1 : 0 FT
Baltika
✓ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Sichuan Jiuniu
1 : 2 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
0 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 22%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 57%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
1 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
4 : 2 FT
FC Thun
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
2 : 0 FT
Port FC
✓ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
0 : 1 FT
Feyenoord
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
2 : 2 FT
Heerenveen
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
1 : 0 FT
Fredrikstad
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
1 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 2 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa
3 : 1 FT
Fulham
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
1 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
4 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
✓ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Superettan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
3 : 0 FT
Sandviken
✓ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Pisa
0 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
Win 22%
Draw 34%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
2 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
✓ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
FF Jaro
2 : 3 FT
Mariehamn
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
1 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 33%
Draw 20%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
2 : 0 FT
Mlada Boleslav
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
3 : 1 FT
Vitoria
✓ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 67% Gremio Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
2 : 4 FT
Gent
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KAA Gent II
0 : 2 FT
RWDM
Win 23%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
0 : 1 FT
Liège
Win 35%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
1 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
1 : 2 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Dinamo Makhachkala
0 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Dinamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Elche
2 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Alverca
2 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
1 : 1 FT
Gais
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
3 : 2 FT
IFK Varnamo
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 2 FT
FC Luzern
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
0 : 0 FT
Lausanne
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Telstar
4 : 2 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 17%
Draw 19%
Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bryne
2 : 0 FT
Kristiansund BK
✓ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
4 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
3 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
1 : 3 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
0 : 4 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers
0 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
0 : 1 FT
Lyon
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Metz
0 : 0 FT
Le Havre
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
2 : 1 FT
Pescara
✓ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
1 : 2 FT
Arsenal
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
1 : 2 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
1 : 0 FT
Pogon Szczecin
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Lecce
2 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
1 : 3 FT
Kifisia
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
2 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
✓ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 2 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
✓ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
0 : 1 FT
Zlin
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
0 : 1 FT
Nacional
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
2 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
✓ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
1 : 1 FT
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
4 : 1 FT
Valerenga
✓ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Dender
0 : 0 FT
RAAL La Louvière
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
0 : 0 FT
Olympic Charleroi
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
0 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Empoli
2 : 2 FT
Carrarese
Win 30%
Draw 35%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
3 : 3 FT
PAOK
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 34%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
D. La Serena
1 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 22%
Draw 23%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
0 : 0 FT
Lens
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
2 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
2 : 0 FT
Botafogo
Win 22%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
1 : 0 FT
Palmeiras
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
2 : 0 FT
Osasuna
✓ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
1 : 0 FT
Valour
✓ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 3–1 · 8%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
0 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
2 : 2 FT
Santos
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Vancouver FC
3 : 1 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 92 of 92 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 28 September 2025?

92 fixtures met the criteria, led by York United vs Valour at 83% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.