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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 16 April 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 87 fixtures on Saturday 16 April 2022. Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg led the list at 76% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 20%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada
FC Edmonton
1 : 1 FT
York United
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 1 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 24%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Górnik Łęczna
1 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
1 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
1 : 1 FT
Sivasspor
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
FC UFA
1 : 1 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
✓ Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangmai United
1 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 22%
Draw 32%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Premier League · England
Tottenham
0 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Rotherham
1 : 0 FT
Ipswich
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
0 : 0 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 30%
Draw 35%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Sandhausen
1 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Dynamo Dresden
0 : 0 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Suphanburi
1 : 2 FT
Police Tero
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Elche
3 : 0 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 2 FT
Salernitana
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
4 : 1 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
1 : 4 FT
Auxerre
Win 31%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Toulouse
2 : 0 FT
Quevilly
✓ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Toulouse Clean Sheet 56%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Nieciecza
0 : 3 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 22%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
2 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
2 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Apollon Smirnis
1 : 1 FT
Volos NFC
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–1 · 19%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 3 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Altay
1 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
6 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
✓ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
3 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
0 : 0 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
0 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit
3 : 1 FT
Ural
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
3 : 2 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · England
Southampton
1 : 0 FT
Arsenal
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Watford
1 : 2 FT
Brentford
Win 17%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
Minai
– : – CANC
FC Kharkiv
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
– : – CANC
FC Mariupol
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
– : – CANC
Veres Rivne
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dnipro-1
– : – CANC
Lviv
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Inhulets
– : – CANC
Vorskla Poltava
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
– : – CANC
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Desna
– : – CANC
Zorya Luhansk
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
– : – CANC
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves
1 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
✓ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
3 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 46%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
2 : 0 FT
Tondela
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 0 FT
Venezia
✓ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
2 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Ried
2 : 3 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
1 : 2 FT
Admira Wacker
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 21%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
2 : 1 FT
BSC Young Boys
✓ Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1 FT
Rubin
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Wigan
1 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 3 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
1 : 1 FT
Bologna
Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
1 : 2 FT
Osasuna
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
0 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
3 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
1 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 39%
Draw 37%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 68%
Model Score 0–0 · 19%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen
1 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
0 : 3 FT
Ajaccio
Win 30%
Draw 39%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 71%
Model Score 0–0 · 22%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
0 : 3 FT
Grenoble
Win 41%
Draw 37%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69%
Model Score 0–0 · 20%
Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
0 : 2 FT
Niort
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Nimes
1 : 3 FT
Sochaux
Win 27%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
0 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 30%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
0 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Maritimo
4 : 0 FT
Boavista
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Belenenses
1 : 0 FT
Vizela
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 0 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
2 : 0 FT
Göztepe
✓ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
0 : 1 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 33%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
2 : 1 FT
Deinze
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 2 FT
RWDM
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
3 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
0 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 3 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio
1 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
1 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 2 FT
Villarreal
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Primera División · Chile
A. Italiano
1 : 1 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Goias
1 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
7 : 0 FT
Portimonense
✓ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge
2 : 2 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
0 : 0 FT
Palestino
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro
4 : 1 FT
Juventude
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
3 : 0 FT
Avai
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Showing 87 of 87 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 16 April 2022?

87 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.