Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 15 April 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

58 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 15 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to MVV vs Excelsior at 72% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 24%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship Β· England
Luton
1 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Exeter City
2 : 0 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 0 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Bournemouth
0 : 0 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Birmingham
2 : 4 FT
Coventry
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Hull City
2 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Peterborough
2 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Championship Β· England
Preston
1 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 63% Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Championship Β· England
Stoke City
0 : 1 FT
Bristol City
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
West Brom
2 : 1 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Accrington ST
0 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
League One Β· England
Charlton
2 : 3 FT
Morecambe
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Cheltenham
2 : 2 FT
Gillingham
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League One Β· England
Crewe
3 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 2 FT
Bolton
Win 23%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 3 FT
Oxford United
Win 24%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Portsmouth
3 : 2 FT
Lincoln
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Sunderland
3 : 2 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League One Β· England
Wycombe
2 : 0 FT
Plymouth
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Barrow
4 : 0 FT
Forest Green
Win 16%
Draw 26%
Win 58%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Salford City
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
1 : 4 FT
Swindon Town
Win 29%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Hartlepool
0 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 25%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
3 : 0 FT
Scunthorpe
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
2 : 3 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Newport County
1 : 2 FT
Crawley Town
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Oldham
0 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 32%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Rochdale
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Walsall
1 : 0 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
1 : 1 FT
Santa Clara
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
2 : 0 FT
SJK
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Huddersfield
2 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
2 : 0 FT
Akhmat
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 2 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Italy
Spezia
1 : 3 FT
Inter
Win 20%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 18%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
1 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kayserispor
1 : 1 FT
Rizespor
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 27%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 3 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 33%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 16%
Draw 18%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
5 : 3 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
3 : 2 FT
Telstar
Win 20%
Draw 22%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 30%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 2 FT
Finn Harps
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 41%
Draw 37%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
0 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
Win 26%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Derby
2 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
2 : 3 FT
Monaco
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
2 : 0 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 36%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ AC Milan Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 20%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 31%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
4 : 0 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Primera División Β· Chile
D. La Serena
1 : 2 FT
Union Espanola
Win 34%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 58 of 58 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 15 April 2022?

58 fixtures met the criteria, led by MVV vs Excelsior at 72% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.