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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 15 September 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

91 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 15 September 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Wolves vs Newcastle at 73% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
A. Italiano
2 : 0 FT
Cobreloa
✓ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
2 : 1 FT
Corinthians
✓ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 64% Botafogo Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2 : 0 FT
Incheon United
✓ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 2 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 1 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Serie A · Italy
Genoa
1 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 31%
✓ Draw 36%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
3 : 1 FT
Rayong FC
✓ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
4 : 2 FT
Sukhothai FC
✓ Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
4 : 2 FT
Akhmat
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
5 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
✓ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 : 0 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 2 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 34%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 37%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
2 : 0 FT
Union St. Gilloise
✓ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
1 : 3 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 25%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
0 : 0 FT
Malmo FF
Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
3 : 2 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
✓ Win 45%
Draw 21%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
3 : 1 FT
Valladolid
✓ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 69%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Gnistan
2 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
✓ Win 73%
Draw 20%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 64%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
3 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
✓ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 0 FT
Tromso
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Bundesliga · Austria
Grazer AK
1 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Livyi Bereh
0 : 1 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 26%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
2 : 0 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · England
Tottenham
0 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 30%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 40%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
3 : 0 FT
Montpellier
✓ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Gefle IF
2 : 3 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 31%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
3 : 2 FT
Fiorentina
✓ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Torino
0 : 0 FT
Lecce
Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
0 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
2 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
✓ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
1 : 3 FT
Sudtirol
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Salernitana
2 : 3 FT
Pisa
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
3 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panserraikos
2 : 2 FT
Levadiakos
Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · Russia
Akron
3 : 0 FT
Khimki
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Portsmouth
0 : 3 FT
West Brom
Win 21%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
3 : 2 FT
KRC Genk II
✓ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
0 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 22%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 58%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
2 : 2 FT
Eyüpspor
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Girona
1 : 4 FT
Barcelona
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Farense
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
BK Hacken
3 : 3 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
0 : 1 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
3 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
0 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
1 : 2 FT
Reims
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
2 : 0 FT
Le Havre
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
1 : 1 FT
Angers
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0 : 2 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
2 : 2 FT
Brann
Win 33%
Draw 21%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
0 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
2 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
0 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 35%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Wolves
1 : 2 FT
Newcastle
Win 26%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
✓ Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
0 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
0 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Deportes Copiapo
2 : 3 FT
Union Espanola
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
3 : 3 FT
Al Orubah
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
0 : 4 FT
Napoli
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Dinamo Makhachkala
1 : 1 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
La Liga · Spain
Las Palmas
2 : 3 FT
Athletic Club
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
3 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
✓ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
1 : 0 FT
Nacional
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
0 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
1 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
1 : 1 FT
Rosenborg
Win 40%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
2 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Deinze
1 : 2 FT
RAAL La Louvière
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
3 : 2 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 29%
Draw 35%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
0 : 0 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Deportes Iquique
3 : 1 FT
Huachipato
✓ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
7 : 1 FT
Al Wehda Club
✓ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
0 : 0 FT
Lyon
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
1 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 24%
Draw 32%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
5 : 0 FT
Criciuma
✓ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
2 : 2 FT
Gremio
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Juventude
2 : 1 FT
Fluminense
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 0 FT
Valencia
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
0 : 2 FT
Vitória SC
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
1 : 0 FT
Palestino
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Cavalry FC
2 : 2 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro
0 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
3 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
✓ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Showing 91 of 91 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 15 September 2024?

91 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wolves vs Newcastle at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.