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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 13 September 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 47 fixtures on Friday 13 September 2024. SHANGHAI SIPG vs Sichuan Jiuniu led the list at 84% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 : 0 FT
Gangwon FC
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
2 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 35%
Draw 23%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 0 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
βœ“ Win 88%
Draw 8%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 3–0 Β· 9%
Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 4 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 29%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
0 : 1 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
1 : 1 FT
EIF
Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 0 FT
Oleksandria
Win 15%
Draw 21%
Win 64%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
2 : 0 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
3 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Motor Lublin
1 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
2 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Preußen Münster
3 : 3 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 20%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0 FT
Ham-Kam
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
0 : 0 FT
Osters IF
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
2 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 0 FT
Helsingborg
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Russia
Rubin
0 : 2 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
0 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 31%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
3 : 0 FT
Martigues
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
3 : 0 FT
Amiens
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Lorient
2 : 1 FT
RED Star FC 93
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
1 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 3 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 2 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
2 : 0 FT
ADO Den Haag
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 1 FT
Vitesse
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
2 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
0 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 29%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 42%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 3 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
3 : 2 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
1 : 1 FT
Seraing United
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lokeren-Temse
2 : 2 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 2 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
GKS Katowice
2 : 2 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cesena
2 : 2 FT
Modena
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Saint Etienne
1 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
0 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
2 : 1 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
4 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
Hull City
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
2 : 0 FT
Leganes
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 11%

Showing 47 of 47 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 13 September 2024?

47 fixtures met the criteria, led by SHANGHAI SIPG vs Sichuan Jiuniu at 84% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.