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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 15 May 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
2 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
4 : 2 FT
Liverpool
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Rizespor
2 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.