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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Thursday 14 May 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 3 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 33%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 League One Β· England
Bradford
0 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
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Showing top 9 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.