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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Monday 18 May 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
0 : 0 FT
Polessya
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
2 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
1 : 1 FT
VPS
Win 26%
Draw 37%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 63%
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Showing top 10 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.