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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Sunday 17 May 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heerenveen
0 : 0 FT
Ajax
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
3 : 1 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United
3 : 2 FT
Dender
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 59%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.