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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Wednesday 13 May 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Arka Gdynia
0 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
0 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 2 FT
Strasbourg
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.