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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Saturday 16 May 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 1 FT
Gent
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Gnistan
5 : 0 FT
FF Jaro
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 60%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
1 : 3 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.