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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 18 January 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

57 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 18 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Almere City FC vs De Graafschap at 78% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 21%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
8 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heerenveen
0 : 2 FT
Groningen
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 2 FT
MVV
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
Parma
0 : 0 FT
Genoa
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
0 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 29%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Rayong FC
5 : 2 FT
Port FC
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
0 : 1 FT
Bangkok United
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Bochum
3 : 3 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Holstein Kiel
2 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
4 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 1 FT
Valencia
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
1 : 1 FT
FC Zurich
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
1 : 1 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 1 FT
Utrecht
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
0 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 31%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 0 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 20%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 7%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Wolves
0 : 0 FT
Newcastle
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
2 : 1 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
1 : 2 FT
Fiorentina
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Pescara
0 : 2 FT
Modena
Win 31%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kocaelispor
1 : 2 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 32%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
1 : 0 FT
Antwerp
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
1 : 2 FT
Lokeren-Temse
Win 23%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
2 : 1 FT
Olympic Charleroi
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Larisa
1 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
1 : 5 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 17%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Santa Clara
0 : 1 FT
Famalicao
Win 35%
Draw 36%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 71%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 21%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
FC Sion
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
1 : 3 FT
FC Thun
Win 32%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
3 : 4 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
1 : 2 FT
Paris FC
Win 36%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
1 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
1 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
0 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
2 : 2 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
0 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
3 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
2 : 3 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 21%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
3 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
2 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
NEOM
1 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 11%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 73%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 3 FT
Al Taawon
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Tondela
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
4 : 0 FT
Panathinaikos
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
2 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
0 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 17%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%

Showing 57 of 57 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 18 January 2026?

57 fixtures met the criteria, led by Almere City FC vs De Graafschap at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.