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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 16 December 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

107 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 16 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Ipswich vs Norwich at 88% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 21%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
1 : 1 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
1 : 1 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 0 FT
VfL Osnabrück
Win 86%
Draw 9%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 3–0 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
2 : 3 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 20%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
0 : 2 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 36%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
2 : 2 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Ipswich
2 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 59%
Draw 17%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 88% ✓ BTTS Yes 83%
Model Score 3–2 · 6%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
✓ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
0 : 3 FT
Al Nasr
Win 34%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Feralpisalo
1 : 0 FT
Cremonese
Win 13%
Draw 23%
Win 65%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
1 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
1 : 2 FT
Sampdoria
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Venezia
2 : 3 FT
Sudtirol
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
2 : 0 FT
Como
Win 24%
Draw 32%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 FT
Granada CF
✓ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 2 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Bordeaux
0 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre
2 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
✓ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Puszcza Niepołomice
3 : 3 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Lecce
2 : 1 FT
Frosinone
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
0 : 1 FT
Slovácko
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zlin
4 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
2 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
✓ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
0 : 0 FT
Karviná
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
3 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
0 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Chelsea
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
✓ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Premier League · England
Manchester City
2 : 2 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
3 : 0 FT
Fulham
✓ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 0 FT
Sunderland
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Hull City
3 : 0 FT
Cardiff
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Leeds
1 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Millwall
1 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Plymouth
3 : 2 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Championship · England
Preston
1 : 5 FT
Watford
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Championship · England
Southampton
4 : 0 FT
Blackburn
✓ Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Swansea
1 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 36%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Barnsley
1 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Bolton
1 : 2 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
League One · England
Cambridge United
2 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
League One · England
Carlisle
2 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
League One · England
Cheltenham
1 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
League One · England
Derby
1 : 1 FT
Wycombe
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 1 FT
Peterborough
Win 22%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 55%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Lincoln
1 : 1 FT
Reading
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
League One · England
Oxford United
3 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Port Vale
3 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Stevenage
1 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
League One · England
Shrewsbury
0 : 3 FT
Portsmouth
Win 20%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 53%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League Two · England
Crawley Town
1 : 3 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 34%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Crewe
3 : 3 FT
Accrington ST
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Doncaster
0 : 5 FT
Morecambe
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
3 : 1 FT
Notts County
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 0 FT
Forest Green
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League Two · England
Newport County
1 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Salford City
0 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Stockport County
8 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 3 FT
Barrow
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Walsall
1 : 0 FT
Tranmere
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Wrexham
2 : 1 FT
Colchester
✓ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 2 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 32%
Draw 35%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden
4 : 0 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
0 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 29%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
1 : 0 FT
Catanzaro
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
0 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo
3 : 2 FT
Pisa
✓ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 0 FT
Atletico Madrid
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 1 FT
Vizela
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Kifisia
4 : 2 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
0 : 2 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
3 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 22%
Draw 39%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 69%
Model Score 0–0 · 20%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
1 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 20%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
2 : 1 FT
Cagliari
✓ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 0 FT
FC Zurich
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1 : 3 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
0 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
3 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Burnley
0 : 2 FT
Everton
Win 25%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 53%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
3 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
0 : 3 FT
Getafe
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
1 : 1 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 0 FT
Quevilly
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen
1 : 0 FT
Dunkerque
✓ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
0 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 27%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 2 · France
Laval
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
0 : 1 FT
Concarneau
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
1 : 4 FT
Angers
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
1 : 0 FT
Annecy
✓ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
2 : 2 FT
Amiens
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
3 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
✓ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
0 : 2 FT
Al Taawon
Win 34%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
2 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 34%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
2 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
0 : 0 FT
Oostende
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
3 : 0 FT
Hannover 96
✓ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
1 : 1 FT
Yverdon Sport
Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Torino
1 : 0 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 0 FT
Charleroi
Win 53%
Draw 33%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
2 : 0 FT
Reims
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
1 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
1 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
1 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 107 of 107 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 16 December 2023?

107 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ipswich vs Norwich at 88% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.