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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Sunday 17 December 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 59 fixtures on Sunday 17 December 2023. Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart sits top on 80% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 33%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Police Tero
2 : 3 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
4 : 1 FT
Buriram United
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
5 : 0 FT
Vitesse
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
ŁKS Łódź
1 : 1 FT
Ruch Chorzów
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
3 : 0 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
0 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Trat FC
1 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 16%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 1 FT
SV Wehen
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
3 : 2 FT
SV Elversberg
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
2 : 1 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 0 FT
Gent
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Francs Borains
1 : 3 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
La Liga Β· Spain
Almeria
0 : 0 FT
Mallorca
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 0 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
0 : 4 FT
Feyenoord
Win 14%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
2 : 0 FT
Brighton
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 18%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Premier League Β· England
Brentford
1 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
West Ham
3 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
0 : 0 FT
Rennes
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
1 : 2 FT
Strasbourg
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Metz
0 : 1 FT
Montpellier
Win 32%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
2 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
2 : 3 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 3 FT
Plzen
Win 30%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
2 : 1 FT
Standard Liège II
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Lecco
2 : 3 FT
Ternana
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
5 : 2 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Chaves
1 : 3 FT
Casa Pia
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 4 FT
PAOK
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
0 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
2 : 2 FT
FC Lugano
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
2 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
2 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 25%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 61% Marseille Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
0 : 0 FT
Manchester United
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 0 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
2 : 0 FT
AS Roma
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Las Palmas
1 : 1 FT
Cadiz
Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
1 : 2 FT
Volos NFC
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
1 : 1 FT
Estoril
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
4 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United
3 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
3 : 0 FT
VfB Stuttgart
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
3 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 4 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
1 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
0 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 22%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Villarreal
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
0 : 1 FT
Benfica
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 59 of 59 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 17 December 2023?

59 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart at 80% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.