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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 15 December 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

33 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 15 December 2023. Emirates Club vs Al-Jazira led the list at 92% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 29%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Prachuap
3 : 1 FT
Chonburi FC
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Hatta SC
0 : 0 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 13%
Draw 20%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
0 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 13%
Draw 13%
βœ“ Win 74%
Over 2.5 92% BTTS Yes 82%
Model Score 1–3 Β· 6%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 34%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
1 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al Wehda Club
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
1 : 2 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 21%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
4 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
3 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
2 : 2 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
4 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
3 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 4 FT
De Graafschap
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
0 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 34%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 5 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
4 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
2 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 38%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
✓ Model Score 2–2 Β· 7%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 2 FT
Jong AZ
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
2 : 1 FT
Seraing United
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
0 : 0 FT
Liège
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 2 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 23%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
1 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
1 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
0 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 31%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
0 : 1 FT
Lyon
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
1 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Farense
0 : 0 FT
Estrela
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 33 of 33 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 15 December 2023?

33 fixtures met the criteria, led by Emirates Club vs Al-Jazira at 92% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.