Sign in Register
πŸ”’

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Saturday 14 May 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

94 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 14 May 2022. Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSC sits top on 75% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División Β· Chile
Union Espanola
2 : 0 FT
Antofagasta
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 : 2 FT
Incheon United
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
1 : 0 FT
Seongnam FC
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Nieciecza
0 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 20%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
2 : 1 FT
Osters IF
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
3 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC UFA
2 : 1 FT
Arsenal Tula
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
1 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 14%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
5 : 2 FT
Utsikten
Win 21%
Draw 21%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
2 : 1 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Norrby IF
1 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
1 : 1 FT
Salernitana
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
3 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 2 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Rostov
2 : 1 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
3 : 3 FT
Dynamo
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 2 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 69%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
5 : 0 FT
OFI
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
2 : 2 FT
HIFK Helsinki
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Mariupol
– : – CANC
Minai
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
– : – CANC
Chornomorets
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
– : – CANC
Oleksandria
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
– : – CANC
Inhulets
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Desna
– : – CANC
Lviv
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
– : – CANC
Zorya Luhansk
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
– : – CANC
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
– : – CANC
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
0 : 0 FT
Belenenses
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Tondela
2 : 2 FT
Boavista
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
4 : 1 FT
Vizela
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Ried
1 : 1 FT
Lask Linz
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Admira Wacker
0 : 3 FT
SCR Altach
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
WSG Wattens
4 : 2 FT
TSV Hartberg
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 0 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 11%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
2 : 0 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
2 : 3 FT
Spezia
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
3 : 2 FT
Perugia
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kayserispor
3 : 0 FT
Yeni Malatyaspor
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Premier League Β· Russia
Akhmat
1 : 0 FT
Krylia Sovetov
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zlin
1 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
0 : 2 FT
Pardubice
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
4 : 0 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
La Liga Β· Spain
Espanyol
1 : 1 FT
Valencia
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Primera División Β· Chile
D. La Serena
0 : 0 FT
Palestino
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
1 : 0 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Auxerre
2 : 1 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Guingamp
2 : 1 FT
Le Havre
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
2 : 3 FT
PAU
Win 29%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Nimes
0 : 2 FT
Bastia
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Niort
1 : 2 FT
Valenciennes
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
2 : 0 FT
Grenoble
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
3 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
2 : 0 FT
Caen
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Sochaux
2 : 2 FT
Dijon
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Maritimo
0 : 1 FT
Portimonense
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 0 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 65%
✓ Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
3 : 2 FT
AEK Athens FC
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
4 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 19%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
0 : 2 FT
Excelsior
Win 34%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 0 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
2 : 1 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
1 : 1 FT
Venezia
Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
3 : 2 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Bordeaux
0 : 0 FT
Lorient
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
3 : 2 FT
Nantes
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Metz
1 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
4 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
0 : 4 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 23%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
1 : 3 FT
Lille
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
2 : 0 FT
Marseille
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Saint Etienne
1 : 2 FT
Reims
Win 31%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
1 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
1 : 3 FT
Lens
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
2 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Ceara
2 : 2 FT
Flamengo
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
4 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Primera División Β· Chile
Everton de Vina
2 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
1 : 1 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
2 : 2 FT
Corinthians
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
4 : 0 FT
Coquimbo Unido
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 14%

Showing 94 of 94 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 14 May 2022?

94 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSC at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.