Fixture360 logo Fixture360 logo
Sign in Register
🔢

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 1 October 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 93 fixtures on Sunday 1 October 2023. SV Darmstadt 98 vs Werder Bremen led the list at 76% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 22%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola
2 : 2 FT
Curico Unido
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
0 : 2 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 33%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
1 : 2 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 30%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Premier League · Ukraine
Minai
0 : 1 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 3 FT
Vitesse
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 4 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
3 : 0 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
2 : 3 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 2 FT
Police Tero
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Championship · England
Blackburn
1 : 4 FT
Leicester
Win 23%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Reims
2 : 0 FT
Lyon
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Fakel
2 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
✓ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
1 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Osnabrück
2 : 2 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
3 : 1 FT
Charleroi
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
0 : 1 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 28%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 48%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Almeria
3 : 3 FT
Granada CF
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
1 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
✓ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
0 : 2 FT
Uthai Thani
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
1 : 3 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
Yverdon Sport
1 : 0 FT
FC ST. Gallen
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
2 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
2 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
✓ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
0 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
✓ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
1 : 1 FT
Brentford
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
3 : 0 FT
Metz
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
0 : 0 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
0 : 2 FT
Lille
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
0 : 2 FT
Brann
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
3 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
BK Hacken
2 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
✓ Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
3 : 2 FT
Degerfors IF
✓ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Superettan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
3 : 0 FT
Trelleborg
✓ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
2 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 34%
✓ Draw 37%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
5 : 0 FT
Rizespor
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
2 : 0 FT
Lahti
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
✓ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
0 : 0 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
4 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
✓ Win 41%
Draw 21%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
4 : 0 FT
Spartak Moscow
✓ Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
3 : 3 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
2 : 1 FT
Lommel United
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0 FT
Polessya
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Como
Win 31%
✓ Draw 36%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
2 : 1 FT
Lecco
Win 28%
Draw 42%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 20%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo
2 : 1 FT
Sudtirol
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
Win 22%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves
0 : 2 FT
Osasuna
Win 30%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 46%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
0 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 35%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 40%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
0 : 2 FT
Chaves
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 1 FT
Kifisia
Win 78%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
0 : 3 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
1 : 4 FT
FC Zurich
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
✓ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 2 FT
Valerenga
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
4 : 0 FT
Viking
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
0 : 0 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
1 : 1 FT
SJK
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
0 : 3 FT
Montpellier
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
✓ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
5 : 0 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
1 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 3 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 22%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
0 : 0 FT
Juventus
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
4 : 0 FT
Alanyaspor
✓ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
0 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
1 : 1 FT
Dynamo
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
4 : 2 FT
Oleksandria
✓ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
1 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
1 : 2 FT
Parma
Win 12%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 60%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
2 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
3 : 2 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
1 : 0 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
1 : 1 FT
Gent
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender
1 : 3 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 37%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAS Giannina
0 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
2 : 0 FT
Legia Warszawa
✓ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo
2 : 1 FT
U. Catolica
✓ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
3 : 1 FT
Nantes
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
2 : 0 FT
Frosinone
✓ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Santos
4 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro
1 : 1 FT
America Mineiro
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Coritiba
2 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Cadiz
✓ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
3 : 0 FT
Valencia
✓ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
0 : 4 FT
Moreirense
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
2 : 1 FT
Palestino
✓ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
2 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
✓ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%

Showing 93 of 93 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 1 October 2023?

93 fixtures met the criteria, led by SV Darmstadt 98 vs Werder Bremen at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.