Today's Correct Score Predictions

🔢

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 29 September 2023

Tue 26 Wed 27 Thu 28 Fri 29 Sat 30 Sun 1 Mon 2

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 42 fixtures on Friday 29 September 2023. 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund led the list at 74% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Thai League 1 · Thailand

Model Score 2–0 · 12%

Super League · China

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Super League · China

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Super League · China

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Super League · China

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Model Score 0–2 · 13%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Model Score 0–2 · 11%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Model Score 0–2 · 11%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Al-Ittihad FC Clean Sheet 54%

Model Score 0–1 · 18%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Premier League · Russia

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Süper Lig · Turkey

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 2–0 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%

Model Score 1–1 · 8%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Model Score 2–0 · 10%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Derry City Clean Sheet 59%

Model Score 2–0 · 16%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Championship · England

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Model Score 0–1 · 16%

Ligue 1 · France

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

La Liga · Spain

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%

Model Score 2–0 · 10%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 42 of 42 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 29 September 2023?

42 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.