Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Tuesday 3 October 2023

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The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

37 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 3 October 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Notts County vs Swindon Town at 82% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil

✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Ligue 2 · France

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Superettan · Sweden

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Superettan · Sweden

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Superettan · Sweden

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Superettan · Sweden

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Premier League · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Championship · England

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Championship · England

✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%

Model Score 1–2 · 8%

Championship · England

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Championship · England

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

League One · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League One · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League One · England

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

League One · England

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

League One · England

Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League One · England

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

League One · England

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

League One · England

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

League One · England

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

League One · England

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Model Score 1–0 · 17%

League One · England

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

League Two · England

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

League Two · England

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

League Two · England

Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

League Two · England

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

League Two · England

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

League Two · England

✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 58%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

League Two · England

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

League Two · England

✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 80%

Model Score 2–2 · 7%

League Two · England

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

League Two · England

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

League Two · England

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

League Two · England

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Championship · England

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Championship · England

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%

Model Score 2–0 · 11%

Showing 37 of 37 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 3 October 2023?

37 fixtures met the criteria, led by Notts County vs Swindon Town at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.