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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 19 March 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 112 fixtures on Saturday 19 March 2022. Zenit vs Arsenal Tula led the list at 74% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 17%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
2 : 2 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
1 : 2 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 32%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Premier League · Russia
Ural
0 : 1 FT
Khimki
Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 1 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 44%
Draw 37%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 83% BTTS No 77% Jeonbuk Motors Clean Sheet 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 24%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 2 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 25%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 53%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 1 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Suphanburi
1 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Police Tero
1 : 1 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
1 : 2 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
3 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 33%
Draw 36%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 34%
Draw 36%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Premier League · Ukraine
FC Mariupol
– : – CANC
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa
0 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 36%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Championship · England
Derby
1 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
2 : 0 FT
Barnsley
✓ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
2 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 33%
✓ Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Sandhausen
0 : 1 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 26%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 46%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Ternana
3 : 0 FT
Alessandria
✓ Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Monza
1 : 0 FT
Crotone
✓ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Parma
0 : 0 FT
Lecce
Win 32%
✓ Draw 36%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Reggina
1 : 0 FT
Cosenza
✓ Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves
2 : 3 FT
Granada CF
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
2 : 3 FT
Ionikos
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
0 : 2 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 25%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 53%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
2 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
2 : 3 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre
1 : 2 FT
Toulouse
Win 37%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
2 : 4 FT
Caen
Win 31%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
2 : 1 FT
Udinese
✓ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zlin
4 : 1 FT
Pardubice
✓ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 2 FT
Slovácko
Win 33%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
1 : 3 FT
Karviná
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
✓ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
4 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
✓ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
3 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 25%
Draw 21%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 20%
Draw 22%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Baten
2 : 0 FT
Al-Raed
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Bristol City
2 : 2 FT
West Brom
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Huddersfield
0 : 3 FT
Bournemouth
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Hull City
1 : 3 FT
Luton
Win 24%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Championship · England
Reading
1 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Championship · England
Stoke City
2 : 0 FT
Millwall
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Swansea
0 : 0 FT
Birmingham
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Cambridge United
0 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 26%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League One · England
Charlton
2 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Cheltenham
3 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Crewe
0 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 22%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 12%
League One · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 0 FT
Doncaster
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Gillingham
0 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 15%
Draw 24%
Win 60%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Sunderland
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Ipswich
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Plymouth
4 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
✓ Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Plymouth Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
League One · England
Portsmouth
0 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Rotherham
0 : 3 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
League One · England
Wigan
4 : 1 FT
Morecambe
✓ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Barrow
1 : 2 FT
Carlisle
Win 27%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League Two · England
Bradford
1 : 2 FT
Port Vale
Win 21%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League Two · England
Crawley Town
3 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 1 FT
Walsall
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Leyton Orient
3 : 1 FT
Rochdale
✓ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Northampton
0 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Oldham
0 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 26%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Salford City
5 : 1 FT
Scunthorpe
✓ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League Two · England
Sutton Utd
1 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
– : – CANC
Minai
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
2 : 0 FT
Benevento
✓ Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Elche
0 : 1 FT
Valencia
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
1 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
1 : 0 FT
Apollon Smirnis
✓ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 2 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 21%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Tondela
2 : 2 FT
Arouca
Win 25%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
3 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
1 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Ried
1 : 2 FT
SCR Altach
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
0 : 0 FT
Admira Wacker
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 0 FT
Górnik Łęczna
✓ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit
3 : 0 FT
Arsenal Tula
✓ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
1 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
3 : 2 FT
FC Luzern
✓ Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
0 : 0 FT
Plzen
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
4 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
3 : 1 FT
Levante
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
5 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 2 FT
Lamia
Win 39%
Draw 37%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 82% BTTS No 74% Panetolikos Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 0–0 · 23%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
3 : 0 FT
Cambuur
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
1 : 0 FT
Nimes
✓ Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 1 FT
Dijon
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
1 : 2 FT
Valenciennes
Win 39%
Draw 36%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 70%
Model Score 0–0 · 20%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
1 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
3 : 1 FT
Nancy
✓ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ligue 2 · France
Niort
2 : 0 FT
Quevilly
✓ Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 67%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 65% Paris FC Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
2 : 0 FT
Rodez
✓ Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
0 : 0 FT
Belenenses
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
1 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
3 : 0 FT
Jagiellonia
✓ Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
1 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
Win 38%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
0 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 13%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 65%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 0 FT
Zulte Waregem
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
1 : 1 FT
Lommel United
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
0 : 1 FT
Lille
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
0 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 28%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 46%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
1 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 22%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
2 : 1 FT
U. Catolica
✓ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
2 : 1 FT
Coquimbo Unido
✓ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%

Showing 112 of 112 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 19 March 2022?

112 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs Arsenal Tula at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.