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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 23 February 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

83 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 23 February 2025. FK Jablonec vs Karviná led the list at 74% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 21%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
0 : 2 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
2 : 2 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
1 : 1 FT
Dalian Zhixing
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
0 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
2 : 2 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
2 : 2 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
2 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
✓ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
1 : 0 FT
Göztepe
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 0 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
1 : 0 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 2 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 2 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Serie A · Italy
Como
2 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 1 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Watford
2 : 0 FT
Luton
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
1 : 3 FT
Buriram United
Win 34%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
0 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
1 : 1 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3 : 0 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
– : – CANC
Deinze
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
7 : 1 FT
Valladolid
✓ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 62% Athletic Club Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 15%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
3 : 2 FT
Adana Demirspor
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 1 FT
FC Sion
✓ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
2 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
✓ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
2 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
2 : 1 FT
FC BW Linz
✓ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 0 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 31%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
0 : 1 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 0 FT
Al Urooba
✓ Win 87%
Draw 9%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 3–0 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
2 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
✓ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow
2 : 2 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
4 : 3 FT
Nottingham Forest
✓ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
3 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
Win 11%
Draw 22%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 59%
Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
0 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
0 : 3 FT
Palermo
Win 33%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 34%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Spezia
0 : 1 FT
Catanzaro
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 2 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 1 FT
Panetolikos
✓ Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 72% Aris Thessalonikis Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 0–0 · 21%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
5 : 0 FT
Karviná
✓ Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
League One · England
Mansfield Town
1 : 2 FT
Wrexham
Win 22%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
0 : 0 FT
Gent
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden
1 : 1 FT
RAAL La Louvière
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
3 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 17%
Draw 29%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 67% Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 19%
Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
4 : 0 FT
Everton de Vina
✓ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Girona
✓ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
2 : 2 FT
Farense
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela
0 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
3 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
✓ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
1 : 0 FT
FC Lugano
✓ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
✓ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
1 : 4 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
3 : 2 FT
Gaziantep FK
✓ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
2 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 0 FT
Karpaty
✓ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
1 : 4 FT
Toulouse
Win 16%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 57%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
0 : 0 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
2 : 0 FT
Montpellier
✓ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Salernitana
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
2 : 3 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 41%
Draw 21%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
0 : 3 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 38%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Manchester City
0 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 39%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 40%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
4 : 0 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
✓ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
3 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
✓ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
0 : 5 FT
Atalanta
Win 9%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 66%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Atalanta Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 2 FT
Real Betis
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
0 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 36%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 3 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
1 : 3 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 35%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
AVS
2 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 13%
Draw 20%
Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
2 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
✓ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 1 FT
PAOK
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
2 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
0 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 28%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 45%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
3 : 0 FT
Leganes
✓ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 0 FT
Moreirense
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
3 : 1 FT
D. La Serena
✓ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
1 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
✓ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Showing 83 of 83 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 23 February 2025?

83 fixtures met the criteria, led by FK Jablonec vs Karviná at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.