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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 21 February 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

40 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 21 February 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Zulte Waregem vs KRC Genk II at 72% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 24%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2 : 2 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 2 FT
Chornomorets
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 31%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 2 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Eyüpspor
1 : 3 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Bodrum FK
1 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
2 : 3 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
3 : 0 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 0 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
1 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
1 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Martigues
2 : 0 FT
Annecy
Win 20%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
3 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
RED Star FC 93
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
5 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
3 : 0 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
0 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 3 FT
Excelsior
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 4 FT
Emmen
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
3 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RWDM
1 : 0 FT
Francs Borains
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
5 : 0 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
0 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Championship Β· England
Bristol City
2 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
1 : 0 FT
Reims
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
0 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 27%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
1 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
3 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
2 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
0 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Leicester
0 : 4 FT
Brentford
Win 16%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Burnley
4 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 FT
Osasuna
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
4 : 2 FT
Deportes Iquique
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Primera División Β· Chile
Union Espanola
0 : 3 FT
Palestino
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%

Showing 40 of 40 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 21 February 2025?

40 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zulte Waregem vs KRC Genk II at 72% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.