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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 10 May 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

62 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 10 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Feralpisalo vs Ternana at 76% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 28%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
2 : 2 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City
4 : 2 FT
Henan Jianye
✓ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
5 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
✓ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
3 : 2 FT
Khon Kaen United
✓ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
0 : 2 FT
Akhmat
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
3 : 3 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
2 : 0 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 20%
Draw 20%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
2 : 1 FT
VPS
✓ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha
0 : 0 FT
Damac
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
4 : 0 FT
ŁKS Łódź
✓ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
0 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Superettan · Sweden
Osters IF
3 : 0 FT
Oddevold
✓ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
2 : 3 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 3 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
✓ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Groningen
2 : 0 FT
Roda
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 4 FT
Jong AZ
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
2 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 15%
Draw 23%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
3 : 2 FT
Telstar
✓ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
0 : 5 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 36%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 36%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
1 : 2 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
0 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 28%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
4 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 31%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
2 : 1 FT
Pisa
✓ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro
1 : 3 FT
Sampdoria
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Como
1 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
3 : 0 FT
Cittadella
✓ Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Feralpisalo
0 : 1 FT
Ternana
Win 33%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 44%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Serie B · Italy
Lecco
2 : 3 FT
Modena
Win 25%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
1 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 14%
Draw 30%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63% Parma Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Serie B · Italy
Spezia
2 : 1 FT
Venezia
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
0 : 1 FT
Palermo
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
2 : 0 FT
Brescia
✓ Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
0 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
1 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
0 : 0 FT
Auxerre
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
1 : 2 FT
Grenoble
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
1 : 2 FT
Angers
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
1 : 2 FT
Bastia
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
1 : 1 FT
Rodez
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
2 : 1 FT
Quevilly
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Laval
1 : 2 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
2 : 1 FT
Guingamp
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
2 : 2 FT
Caen
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Concarneau
4 : 2 FT
Bordeaux
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Frosinone
0 : 5 FT
Inter
Win 17%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 5 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians
✓ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
0 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 31%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 56%
Draw 31%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 70% Shelbourne Clean Sheet 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 21%
Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
4 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Doncaster
0 : 2 FT
Crewe
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
1 : 0 FT
Le Havre
✓ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves
2 : 2 FT
Girona
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Chaves
0 : 1 FT
Famalicao
Win 27%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 49%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 62 of 62 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 10 May 2024?

62 fixtures met the criteria, led by Feralpisalo vs Ternana at 76% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.