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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 11 May 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 81 fixtures on Saturday 11 May 2024. AC Oulu vs Gnistan sits top on 79% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 20%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
3 : 1 FT
Valour
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
1 : 2 FT
FC Seoul
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daegu FC
3 : 2 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
3 : 3 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
2 : 3 FT
Minai
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
2 : 1 FT
Hansa Rostock
✓ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
3 : 1 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
✓ Win 50%
Draw 21%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
3 : 0 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
2 : 2 FT
Utsikten
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
0 : 0 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Premier League · Russia
Rubin
3 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 2 FT
Muangthong United
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Fulham
0 : 4 FT
Manchester City
Win 21%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United
0 : 0 FT
Nakhon Pathom
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 2 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 30%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
1 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
✓ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Super League · China
Beijing Guoan
3 : 2 FT
Meizhou Kejia
✓ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
2 : 0 FT
SJK
Win 31%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
1 : 3 FT
Sirius
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
1 : 3 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
1 : 3 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
1 : 3 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 32%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC
2 : 0 FT
Police Tero
✓ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
0 : 1 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
4 : 2 FT
Slovácko
✓ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
1 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
3 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
Win 29%
Draw 41%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 69%
Model Score 0–0 · 22%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 FT
FC Krasnodar
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Bournemouth
1 : 2 FT
Brentford
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Everton
1 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
✓ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · England
Tottenham
2 : 1 FT
Burnley
✓ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · England
West Ham
3 : 1 FT
Luton
✓ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · England
Wolves
1 : 3 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
AC Oulu
1 : 1 FT
Gnistan
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 79%
Model Score 2–2 · 7%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
3 : 2 FT
Sevilla
✓ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Portimonense
2 : 2 FT
Rio Ave
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
4 : 0 FT
Estrela
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
0 : 4 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Lustenau
1 : 0 FT
FC BW Linz
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
0 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
1 : 1 FT
Al Taee
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4 : 1 FT
Al-Hazm
✓ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 0 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
✓ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
3 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
✓ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Gais
2 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
✓ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
0 : 0 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
2 : 2 FT
Rosenborg
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
0 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 26%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit
0 : 1 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku
0 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
2 : 0 FT
RWDM
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
3 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
2 : 3 FT
Chelsea
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
3 : 0 FT
Borussia Dortmund
✓ Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Granada CF
0 : 4 FT
Real Madrid
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
2 : 2 FT
Union Espanola
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
0 : 1 FT
Sporting CP
Win 23%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 52%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
0 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
1 : 2 FT
Panetolikos
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panserraikos
2 : 0 FT
Kifisia
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAS Giannina
1 : 1 FT
Volos NFC
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
✓ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
1 : 1 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
0 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3 : 1 FT
Yverdon Sport
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Baltika
2 : 3 FT
Dynamo
Win 34%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 5 FT
Crawley Town
Win 40%
Draw 21%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
5 : 1 FT
Cagliari
✓ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
2 : 1 FT
Genk
✓ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
2 : 0 FT
Corinthians
✓ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 2 FT
Osasuna
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
2 : 3 FT
SC Braga
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
0 : 0 FT
Forge
Win 39%
Draw 37%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica
3 : 2 FT
O'Higgins
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 81 of 81 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 11 May 2024?

81 fixtures met the criteria, led by AC Oulu vs Gnistan at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.